COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Texas State enters on a two-game winning streak and has scored 36.3 points per game with 523.3 total yards per game, driven by 281.3 rushing yards per game and 242.0 passing yards per game. San Diego State is 1-3 and has struggled on both sides of the ball, averaging 23.0 points and 320.0 total yards per game while giving up 28.8 points and 412.8 total yards per game. The biggest mismatch is Texas State’s offense against an Aztecs defense that has allowed 240.3 passing yards and 172.5 rushing yards per game, but San Diego State’s own offense has been limited enough to make a full shootout less likely.
Texas State has the more explosive offense and should control the game, but the total is high enough that the under still offers the clearest edge. San Diego State’s offense has been average at best, and its defense has not been able to consistently force long, efficient drives. Texas State is capable of scoring in the low 30s, yet a projected final of Texas State Bobcats 31, San Diego State Aztecs 27 keeps the combined score just under the market and fits the best value on the board.
