COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Louisiana enters at 5-3 and has won games by balancing a 30.12-point offense with a defense that has held opponents to 21.25 points per game. The Cajuns average 382.8 yards per game, 5.6 yards per play, 192.75 passing yards per game, and 190.0 rushing yards per game, while their defense has limited opponents to 317.2 yards per game and 5.1 yards per play. South Alabama comes in at 4-3 with a much higher scoring profile, averaging 35.14 points and 421.9 yards per game, but the Jaguars have also given up 32.43 points and 413.6 yards per game, which leaves them vulnerable if Louisiana can sustain drives and finish in the red zone.
Louisiana is projected to win 31-24 in a game that lands below the market total, with the Cajuns’ defensive edge doing enough to keep South Alabama from fully cashing in on its strong yardage numbers. South Alabama’s offense is good enough to keep this competitive, but its defense has been the weaker unit in the matchup, and that points to a controlled game rather than a fast-paced scoring exchange. The best position is Under 57.5, with Louisiana expected to handle the better all-around defensive side and finish with a seven-point home win.
