COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Georgia State enters with a 3-1 record, a perfect home mark so far, and a defense that has kept opponents to 21.3 points per game. The Panthers are generating 468.3 yards per game and 6.2 yards per play, with balanced production from the passing game and a strong rushing output. Old Dominion is 1-3 and has dropped three straight, scoring only 22.3 points per game while giving up 30.0. The Monarchs have struggled to create efficient offense, sitting at 4.2 yards per play, and their defense has not been good enough to cover for that lack of production.
Georgia State should control the game at home and has the better blend of scoring efficiency, defensive stability, and overall yardage production. Old Dominion's offense has been too inconsistent to trust, and its defense has allowed enough production to make a short road number hard to justify. I project Georgia State to win 29-24, with the Panthers covering in a game that stays competitive but still tilts toward the home side.