COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Kansas enters at 1-2 and is coming off two straight losses, but the offense has been productive enough to stay above 29 points per game and generate 427.0 yards per game. Middle Tennessee is 2-2 and has been more efficient on the road than at home in a small sample, but the Blue Raiders are still giving up 21.3 points per game and 349.3 yards per game, which leaves them vulnerable if Kansas finishes drives cleanly. Kansas also owns the stronger per-play profile on offense with 248.3 passing yards per game and 178.7 rushing yards per game, while Middle Tennessee has been more balanced but less explosive overall.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: 75.0% against the spread with a 3-1-0 ATS record, and 100.0% to the under with a 0-4-0 over/under record.
Kansas should control this game at home and win by a comfortable margin, but the better betting angle is the under because both teams have shown enough defensive resistance to keep the scoring from running too high. A projected final of Kansas Jayhawks 29, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 18 creates a 47-point game, which leaves room under the market total while still supporting a Kansas win.
