COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Michigan enters with a 5-3 record and has played to a defense-first profile, allowing only 15.7 points per game while generating 21.3 points per game on offense. The Wolverines average 316.4 yards per game and 5.14 yards per play, with a balanced attack built on 178.4 passing yards per game and 138.0 rushing yards per game. Michigan State is 2-6 and has struggled to keep pace, averaging 19.9 points per game and 291.4 yards per game while allowing 25.8 points and 355.1 yards per game. The Spartans have leaned on Alessio Milivojevic, who has thrown for 1,263 yards and 7 touchdowns, but the offense has still been limited by a modest 4.6 yards per play and a run game that has produced 110.1 rushing yards per game.
Michigan should control this game at home and win by a comfortable margin, but the stronger angle is the under because both teams have repeatedly landed below their totals and neither offense has shown enough efficiency to force a faster scoring pace. Michigan’s defense has the better numbers on paper, Michigan State’s offense has been below average in yards per play, and the Spartans’ defense has allowed enough control from opposing offenses to keep the game from opening up. The projected final score is Michigan Wolverines 24, Michigan State Spartans 13.
