COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Louisville arrives at 2-2 after a narrow recent skid, but its offensive numbers remain strong at 41.3 points and 486.3 yards per game, with balanced production from both the passing and run game. NC State is also 2-2 and has been better at home than away, but its offense is more run-driven, averaging 219.0 rushing yards per game, and its defense has allowed 25.0 points per game and 6.4 yards per play. Both teams have hit the over in three of four games, which fits two efficient offenses, but Louisville’s passing efficiency and NC State’s road issues point to a Cardinals edge in the opening half.
Louisville should be the side to back in the first half, with the Cardinals’ offense doing enough to build an edge before NC State’s home field fully settles in. Louisville’s passing game, overall yardage output, and better first-half market price make it the better value play, while NC State’s defensive numbers are solid enough to keep the full game closer than the opening stretch. The projected final score is Louisville Cardinals 34, NC State Wolfpack 30, with Louisville in front at halftime and holding on late.