COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Baylor enters with a balanced profile: the Bears are scoring efficiently, moving the ball at a strong clip, and pairing that with a defense that has held opponents to low output across seven games. Iowa State has been competitive and productive on offense, averaging 29.00 points and 370.0 yards per game, with a strong passing game led by Jaylen Raynor and a rushing attack that has reached 176.6 yards per game. Still, the Cyclones have allowed 27.25 points per game and have been more vulnerable on a yards-per-play basis, which is a concern against a Baylor team that can score both through the air and on the ground.
Baylor is the better side in this Big 12 game because the Bears combine stronger scoring efficiency, better defensive numbers, and home-field advantage against an Iowa State team that can score but has been more vulnerable defensively. The Cyclones should have enough offense to stay within range for stretches, but Baylor’s ability to generate points more efficiently and limit opponent production points to a controlled home win. Final score projection: Baylor Bears 31, Iowa State Cyclones 20.