COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Fresno State enters on a one-game win streak after splitting its first two games, while San Jose State has won two straight and is 2-1 overall. Fresno State’s offense has been balanced at 213.0 passing yards and 116.0 rushing yards per game, but it has also allowed 281.0 passing yards per game, which is a concern against an opponent that averages 262.7 passing yards per game. San Jose State has been even more explosive on offense at 427.3 total yards per game and 5.8 yards per play, but its defense has also been vulnerable, giving up 27.7 points per game and 375.3 yards per game. Those numbers point to a matchup where both teams should find ways to move the ball.
Fresno State and San Jose State should play a higher-scoring game than the market number suggests, with both offenses capable of producing and both defenses allowing efficient drives. Fresno State’s balanced attack and San Jose State’s higher-volume offense create enough possession-by-possession scoring pressure to support an over, and the projected final score is Fresno State Bulldogs 30, San Jose State Spartans 28.