COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Duke enters with one of the sharper recent profiles in this matchup, posting wins in six of its first eight games and coming off a dominant defensive outing that limited Boston College to two points. The Blue Devils have paired efficient offense with a defense that travels well, and Walker Eget has driven much of the passing production while the run game has provided balance. NC State has been more volatile: the Wolfpack have scored well, including a 31-point win over California, but they have also allowed 34, 35, 38, and 31 points in multiple losses. CJ Bailey and the Wolfpack offense can move the ball, yet the defense’s yardage and points allowed numbers leave less margin for error against a Duke team that is far more consistent down to down.
Duke should control enough of the game flow to win outright, with the better defensive unit and the more reliable efficiency numbers separating it from NC State. The Wolfpack can generate offense, but their defense has allowed too many points and too many efficient drives to trust them to outlast a more balanced opponent. A projected final of Duke Blue Devils 27, NC State Wolfpack 23 fits a Duke moneyline position and points to a controlled, moderately scored game.