COLLEGE FOOTBALL

BYU comes in at 3-0 with three straight wins, scoring 44.0 points per game behind 262.7 rushing yards and 219.0 passing yards per game. The Cougars have also been sound defensively, allowing 15.7 points and 271.0 yards per game, with opponents averaging only 4.8 yards per play. TCU is 2-2 and has been much more pass-centric, putting up 29.3 points and 442.0 yards per game with 303.3 passing yards per game, but the Horned Frogs have also been less efficient on a per-play basis at 5.1 yards per play. TCU’s defense has allowed just 12.5 points per game, yet the combination of BYU’s balanced attack and stronger overall efficiency gives the Cougars the cleaner recent form entering this game.
BYU has the more complete profile on both sides of the ball, with stronger scoring, better per-play efficiency, and a defense that has been harder to move than TCU’s offense has been against quality competition. TCU’s home field and passing volume can keep the game competitive, but BYU’s overall efficiency edge points to the Cougars pulling away late. Final score projection: BYU Cougars 31, TCU Horned Frogs 24.