COLLEGE FOOTBALL
BYU comes in unbeaten with three straight wins and has been the more efficient team on both sides of the ball, averaging 481.7 yards and 44.0 points per game while allowing only 271.0 yards and 15.7 points per game. TCU is 2-2 overall, with its offense producing 29.3 points and 442.0 yards per game, but the Horned Frogs have been far more limited on the ground than BYU and have not matched the Cougars’ explosive efficiency. BYU’s 8.0 yards per play stands out against TCU’s 5.1, while TCU’s defense has been the stronger unit statistically, allowing just 264.8 yards and 12.5 points per game. That contrast creates a game where BYU has the edge, but TCU’s defense can help suppress scoring.
BYU should be the better team overall, but the strongest betting angle is a lower-scoring game rather than a side. The Cougars’ offense has been more productive and more efficient, yet TCU’s defense has allowed only 12.5 points per game and should slow the pace enough to keep the final score contained. I project BYU to win 27-20, with the game finishing below the total and the Cougars doing enough on offense to stay in control without turning it into a shootout.
