COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Miami enters with a 2-2 record and has already shown balanced offensive production, led by 289.3 passing yards per game and 28.5 points per game. The RedHawks have also been solid against the number so far this season and have produced three of four games going over the total. Bowling Green is still searching for rhythm after a rough start, sitting at 0-4 with only 8.3 points per game on offense and a defense that has been hit for 36.3 points per game. The Falcons have struggled badly on both sides of the ball, especially against the run, which makes it hard to project a stop-heavy game plan that can keep Miami down in the scoring range.
Miami has the stronger offense, the better quarterback-driven production profile, and the cleaner path to points against a Bowling Green defense that has surrendered far too much yardage and scoring. Bowling Green’s offense has not done enough to force Miami into an uncomfortable script, so the RedHawks should be able to control the game and reach the high 20s or low 30s. My projected final score is Miami (OH) 31, Bowling Green 13, which supports Miami team total over 28.5 as the best value on the board.