COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Arizona State enters with a 2-1 record and a high-output offense, averaging 426.0 yards and 38.0 points per game behind 260.3 passing yards and 165.7 rushing yards per game. Baylor is 3-1 and has also moved the ball well at 435.8 yards and 29.8 points per game, with a pass-heavy profile that produces 285.0 passing yards per game. On the defensive side, Baylor has been far sharper, allowing just 13.0 points and 306.0 yards per game, while Arizona State has allowed 24.0 points and 285.7 yards per game. That contrast suggests Baylor can help keep the game controlled, even if Arizona State’s offense is the most explosive unit on the field.
Arizona State should be able to win at home, but the cleaner betting angle is the under because Baylor’s defense has been far better than its reputation, and Arizona State’s own defense has been good enough to avoid a track meet. A projected final score of Arizona State Sun Devils 27, Baylor Bears 21 keeps the game inside the total while still leaving room for Arizona State to prevail outright.
