COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Tennessee enters at 3-1 with 40.0 points per game and 438.0 total yards per game, led by a run game producing 241.5 rushing yards per game. The Volunteers have also limited opponents to 15.5 points per game and 282.3 total yards allowed per game, which is a major reason they can control tempo. Auburn is also 3-1, scoring 30.0 points per game and averaging 413.5 total yards, but the Tigers have allowed 20.8 points per game and 365.8 total yards per game, leaving less margin for error against a higher-end SEC opponent. Tennessee’s recent efficiency drop in yards per play is worth noting, but its defense still profiles better than Auburn’s overall profile.
Tennessee should be in position to win at home, but the stronger betting angle is the under because both teams have recent under trends and Tennessee’s defense is good enough to keep Auburn from carrying the score into the high 50s. Auburn has enough offensive production to contribute, but Tennessee’s efficiency on both sides of the ball points to a controlled game rather than a shootout. Final score projection: Tennessee Volunteers 30, Auburn Tigers 23.
