COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Tennessee enters at 3-1 with 160 points scored and only 62 allowed, while Auburn is also 3-1 but has scored 120 and allowed 83. Tennessee’s offense has been far more explosive on the ground, with 966 rushing yards and 241.5 rushing yards per game, and that balances an attack that still produces 196.5 passing yards per game. Auburn has been more pass-oriented at 235.0 passing yards per game and 178.5 rushing yards per game, but its defensive production has been less efficient, giving up 238.8 passing yards per game and 127.0 rushing yards per game. Tennessee’s defense has held opponents to 163.5 passing yards per game and 118.8 rushing yards per game, which gives the home team a stronger all-around profile.
Tennessee should control this game with the more explosive offense and the better defensive numbers, especially at home. Auburn has been respectable, but Tennessee’s 40.0 points per game, 6.3 yards per play, and 15.5 points allowed per game give the Volunteers the clearer path to a multi-score win. The best betting angle is Tennessee -7.0, with a projected final score of Tennessee 34, Auburn 24.