The Military Bowl is set for Wednesday afternoon when the UCF Knights (9-4) battle the Duke Blue Devils (8-4). UCF is making their 14th bowl appearance and currently have a 6-7 record. Duke is making their 15th bowl and are making their first appearance since the 2018 Independence Bowl. Below is my college football pick for UCF vs Duke.
UCF vs Duke Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Duke +1.5 |
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This game will be played at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium at 2:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 28, 2022.
Why Bet Duke +1.5
✅ Duke is 5-1 against the spread in their last six games.
✅ The Blue Devils are 4-1 straight up in their last five games.
✅ UCF is 1-4 ATS in their last five games against an ACC opponent.
NCAAFB
UCF Knights
Duke Blue Devils
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
| UCF | Passing | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 15.1 | CMP | 18.2 |
| 25.9 | ATT | 32.3 |
| 58.2 | CMP% | 56.3 |
| 199.7 | Y/G | 194.8 |
| 7.7 | Y/A | 6 |
| 1.2 | TD/G | 1.3 |
Defense/Offense
| UCF | Passing | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 20.3 | CMP | 21.3 |
| 31.3 | ATT | 35.2 |
| 64.9 | CMP% | 60.4 |
| 218.7 | Y/G | 245 |
| 7 | Y/A | 7 |
| 1.8 | TD/G | 2.2 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
| UCF | Rushing | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 43.0 | ATT | 40.5 |
| 248.1 | Y/G | 149.5 |
| 5.8 | Y/A | 3.7 |
| 2.8 | TD/G | 1.1 |
Defense/Offense
| UCF | Rushing | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 34.3 | ATT | 29.8 |
| 120.3 | Y/G | 96.5 |
| 3.5 | Y/A | 3.2 |
| 1.2 | TD/G | 1.1 |
Special Teams
| UCF | Special Teams | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 3.4 | Punts-GM | 6.0 |
| 43.0 | Punt Avg | 43.3 |
| 1.9 | Kick Ret GM | 1.7 |
| 16.7 | Kick Ret Avg | 20.9 |
| 1.5 | Punt Ret GM | 2.2 |
| 9.5 | Punt Ret Avg | 9.3 |
Betting Trends
| UCF | Betting Trends | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 29.33 | Avg Score | 28 |
| 33.67 | Avg Opp Score | 22 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 37.33 | Avg Score | 31 |
| 38.33 | Avg Opp Score | 25.33 |
| UCF | Betting Trends | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
| 32.2 | Avg Score | 33.4 |
| 32 | Avg Opp Score | 23.6 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
| 32 | Avg Score | 36 |
| 35.4 | Avg Opp Score | 22.6 |
| UCF | Betting Trends | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 33.7 | Avg Score | 33.6 |
| 25.7 | Avg Opp Score | 25.1 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 32.7 | Avg Score | 29.8 |
| 32.6 | Avg Opp Score | 30.7 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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UCF Knights
Last time out, UCH visited #18 Tulane, in the ACC Championship, and lost 45-28. Tulane led 10-0 after the first quarter and led 17-7 at the half. The Green Wave held a comfortable lead until midway through the fourth quarter when UCF cut the lead to three. Ultimately, it was not enough for UCF as Tulane scored the final 14 points to get the win.
Three UCF passers combined to go 24/48 for 265 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions in the loss. Defensively, UCF allowed 648 total yards and forced three Tulane turnovers, one interception and two recovered fumbles.
Through 12 games, UCF is scoring 34.4 points per game and gaining 480.6 yards, 244.5 through the air and 236.1 on the ground. Defensively, the Knights allow 23.2 points and 383.4 yards, 226.1 passing and 157.3 rushing.
Duke Blue Devils
Duke finished their regular season with a 34-31 win over Wake Forest. Wake led 7-3 after the first quarter, but Duke held the 20-17 advantage at the break. The Deacs retook the lead early in the fourth quarter, but the Blue Devils secured the win with a touchdown with 2:04 left in the game.
Riley Leonard went 29-41 for 391 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception. Duke ran the ball 29 times for 391 yards, a 13.5 average, and four touchdowns in the win. Defensively, the Blue Devils allowed 453 total yards and forced one Wake Forest interception.
After 12 games, Duke is scoring 33.1 points per game and gaining 421.2 yards, 236.4 through the air and 184.8 on the ground. Defensively, the Blue Devils allow 22.8 points and 382.6 yards, 262.3 passing and 120.3 rushing.
