New Mexico State Aggies

New Mexico State Aggies

Sep 14, 2024

Fresno State Bulldogs

Fresno State Bulldogs
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

New Mexico State at Fresno State Prediction For 9/14/2024

The New Mexico State Aggies will take on the Fresno State Bulldogs on September 14, 2024. The betting odds from DraftKings Sportsbook have the Aggies as 19.5 point underdogs. With 95% of spread bets on New Mexico State, the Bulldogs are only receiving 5% of the bets. The total of 47.5 has resulted in 18% of bets on the under and 82% on the over. We've got you covered with our preview and best bet for this New Mexico State vs Fresno State matchup in college football.

New Mexico State Returns to Non-Conference Action

Last week, the New Mexico State Aggies played their first Conference USA game of the 2024 season, losing a tight game to Liberty. They will return to non-conference play this week, though, as they take on Fresno State on the road. At 1-1 on the season so far, the Aggies will look to pull off a major upset in this contest to get back above the .500 mark for the year.

While New Mexico State lost to Liberty last week, they did cover the spread in a game that was decided by just six points. With Diego Pavia flourishing at Vanderbilt after transferring from NMSU in the offseason, the Aggies were not expected to compete in that game. If they can do it again here, all hope might not be lost for the conference title hopes of the Aggies once they jump back into Conference USA competition.

Fresno State Caps An Exciting Week

The Fresno State Bulldogs are also 1-1 so far this season. They beat FCS Sacramento State last week after losing 30-10 to Michigan in their season opener. But that loss to Michigan was also a moral victory, as they kept things close for the majority of that game before turnovers helped the Wolverines ice things late. This week, Fresno State is a heavy favorite to get to 2-1 on the season with their second win in a row.

For Fresno, finding some traction in the running game will be a huge factor in their quest to get above the .500 mark for the first time this year. The Bulldogs' leading rusher through two games is Malik Sherrod, who has just 78 rushing yards on 36 carries, which is barely over two yards per carry. A more efficient showing from Sherrod and the running game of Fresno State will be essential for them to assert their dominance in this matchup.

New Mexico State vs Fresno State Best Bet

Fresno State is the better team here and should win this New Mexico State vs Fresno State matchup. But we will take the points with New Mexico State after they gave Liberty all they could handle in their Conference USA opener last week. Look for the Bulldogs to win this game by around two touchdowns but for NMSU to cover the point spread.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+20.5/-108
64% NMXST
-20.5/-112
36% FREST

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+803
4% NMXST
-1492
96% FREST

Total Pick Consensus

47.5/-112
26% UN
47.5/-108
74% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

NMXST
Team Stats
FREST
10
GM
10
18.8
PPG
25.3
65.4
PLAYS-PG
71.2
295.3
YDS/G
349.0
4.5
YPP
4.9
18.1
1st DPG
20.5
6.0
1st DPass
9.0
9.2
1st DRush
9.1
2.9
1st Pen
2.4
5.3
Pen-Gm
7.2
46.7
Pen-Yds
65.4
0.9
FUM-G
0.5
1.1
INT-G
1.3

Defense/Offense

NMXST
Team Stats
FREST
10
GM
10
37.2
PPG
27.8
71.1
PLAYS-PG
64.0
461.7
YDS/G
348.8
6.5
YPP
5.5
21.6
1st DPG
19.5
10.2
1st DPass
11.3
9.8
1st DRush
5.8
1.6
1st Pen
2.4
7.0
Pen-Gm
5.7
76.0
Pen-Yds
53.6
0.0
FUM-G
0.1
0.7
INT-G
1.3

Offense/Defense

NMXST
Rushing
FREST
40.3
ATT
36.5
181.2
Y/G
149.0
4.5
Y/A
4.1
1.4
TD/G
1.1

Defense/Offense

NMXST
Rushing
FREST
40.1
ATT
31.1
205.2
Y/G
95.2
5.1
Y/A
3.1
2.6
TD/G
1.7

Offense/Defense

NMXST
Passing
FREST
10.5
CMP
18.5
25.1
ATT
34.7
41.8
CMP%
53.3
114.1
Y/G
200
4.5
Y/A
5.8
0.7
TD/G
1.6

Defense/Offense

NMXST
Passing
FREST
17.8
CMP
23
31
ATT
32.9
57.4
CMP%
69.9
256.5
Y/G
253.6
8.3
Y/A
7.7
1.8
TD/G
1.6

NMXST
Special Teams
FREST
5.9
Punts-GM
4.2
44.2
Punt Avg
39.5
3.6
Kick Ret GM
1.5
19.7
Kick Ret Avg
13.9
0.9
Punt Ret GM
1.5
3.0
Punt Ret Avg
14.0

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
NMXST FREST
NMXST FREST
Consensus
+21.0 (-117)
-21.0 (-110)
+20.5 (-117)
-20.5 (-107)
+21.0 (-108)
-21.0 (-110)
+20.5 (-108)
-20.5 (-112)
+20.5 (-115)
-20.5 (-110)
+20.5 (-115)
-20.5 (-105)
+20.5 (+100)
-20.5 (-120)
+20.5 (-117)
-20.5 (-108)
+20.0 (-110)
-20.0 (-110)
+20.0 (-110)
-20.0 (-110)
+20.5 (-115)
-20.5 (-115)
+20.5 (-115)
-20.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
NMXST FREST
NMXST FREST
Consensus
-200
-200
+803
-1492
+950
-1650
+900
-1600
+980
-2000
+860
-1600
+900
-2000
+800
-1667
+800
-1400
+800
-1400
+800
-1400
+800
-1400
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
48.0 (-110)
48.0 (-110)
47.5 (-112)
47.5 (-109)
48.5 (-110)
48.5 (-110)
48.0 (-108)
48.0 (-112)
48.5 (-110)
48.5 (-110)
47.5 (-115)
47.5 (-105)
48.5 (-109)
48.5 (-112)
47.5 (-110)
47.5 (-110)
48.0 (-110)
48.0 (-110)
47.5 (-110)
47.5 (-110)
48.5 (-110)
48.5 (-110)
47.5 (-110)
47.5 (-110)