The Boca Raton Bowl is set for Tuesday night when the Liberty Flames (8-4) play the Toledo Rockets (8-5). Liberty is making their fourth bowl appearance and are hoping to remain unbeaten in bowl season. Toledo is set to make their 20th bowl appearance and will look to improve on their 10-9 record. Below is my college football pick for Liberty vs Toledo.
Liberty vs Toledo Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Toledo -4 |
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This game will be played at FAU Stadium at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 20, 2022.
Why Bet Toledo -4
✅ Toledo is 6-3 straight up in their last nine games.
✅ Liberty is just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games played.
✅ The Rockets are 5-0 ATS against Independent teams.
NCAAFB
Liberty Flames
Toledo Rockets
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
| LIBRTY | Passing | TOLEDO |
|---|---|---|
| 14.7 | CMP | 20.5 |
| 24.3 | ATT | 35.2 |
| 60.3 | CMP% | 58.2 |
| 190.4 | Y/G | 221.6 |
| 7.8 | Y/A | 6.3 |
| 1.4 | TD/G | 1.2 |
Defense/Offense
| LIBRTY | Passing | TOLEDO |
|---|---|---|
| 15.8 | CMP | 20.5 |
| 26.2 | ATT | 33.3 |
| 60.2 | CMP% | 61.6 |
| 195 | Y/G | 249.2 |
| 7.4 | Y/A | 7.5 |
| 0.8 | TD/G | 2.3 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
| LIBRTY | Rushing | TOLEDO |
|---|---|---|
| 45.3 | ATT | 37.1 |
| 249.8 | Y/G | 131.3 |
| 5.5 | Y/A | 3.5 |
| 2.6 | TD/G | 1.0 |
Defense/Offense
| LIBRTY | Rushing | TOLEDO |
|---|---|---|
| 37.2 | ATT | 34.4 |
| 154.4 | Y/G | 122.9 |
| 4.1 | Y/A | 3.6 |
| 2.1 | TD/G | 1.2 |
Special Teams
| LIBRTY | Special Teams | TOLEDO |
|---|---|---|
| 3.4 | Punts-GM | 4.5 |
| 42.7 | Punt Avg | 41.1 |
| 2.9 | Kick Ret GM | 2.2 |
| 18.2 | Kick Ret Avg | 25.1 |
| 1.0 | Punt Ret GM | 1.9 |
| 11.6 | Punt Ret Avg | 13.6 |
Betting Trends
| LIBRTY | Betting Trends | TOLEDO |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 23 | Avg Score | 22 |
| 36 | Avg Opp Score | 23 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 32 | Avg Score | 38.33 |
| 26.33 | Avg Opp Score | 31.33 |
| LIBRTY | Betting Trends | TOLEDO |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
| 26.2 | Avg Score | 24.2 |
| 28.2 | Avg Opp Score | 22.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 34 | Avg Score | 41.6 |
| 28 | Avg Opp Score | 24.2 |
| LIBRTY | Betting Trends | TOLEDO |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 28.9 | Avg Score | 30.4 |
| 25.8 | Avg Opp Score | 24.5 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 31.2 | Avg Score | 40.1 |
| 26.3 | Avg Opp Score | 23.3 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Liberty Flames
Last time out, Liberty ended their regular season with a poor 49-14 home loss against New Mexico State. This game was tied at seven after the first quarter, but New Mexico State scored the next 42 points in their domination of Liberty.
Three Liberty QBs combined to go 25/39 for 207 yards, one touchdown, and one interception in the loss. Defensively, Liberty allowed 428 total yards and recovered one New Mexico State fumble.
Through 12 games, Liberty is scoring 28.1 points per game and gaining 400.2 yards, 222.0 through the air and 178.2 on the ground. Defensively, the Flames allow 24.9 points and 345.0 yards, 200.9 passing and 144.1 rushing.
Toledo Rockets
Toledo won the MAC Championship with a sleepy 17-7 win over the Ohio Bobcats. The Rockets led 7-0 after the first quarter, but Ohio tied it up midway through the second. Toledo retook the lead, 10-7, just before the half and then scored the only seven points of the second half to wrap up the title.
Dequan Finn went 16/25 for 154 yards, one touchdown, and zero interceptions on the day. Jacquez Stuart want the ball just nine times but had 93 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Toledo allowed 262 total yards and forced one Ohio interception.
After 13 games, Toledo is scoring 32.1 points per game and gaining 405.8 yards, 227.8 through the air and 178.0 on the ground. Defensively, the Rockets allow 25.5 points and 331.9 yards, 185.5 passing and 146.5 rushing.
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