Colorado Buffaloes

Colorado Buffaloes

Sep 28, 2024

UCF Knights

UCF Knights
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Colorado vs UCF Preview, Prediction & Picks 9/28/2024

In a matchup between the Colorado Buffaloes and the UCF Knights on September 28, 2024, the Buffaloes are 14.5 point underdogs according to DraftKings Sportsbook. Currently, 66% of spread bets are on the Buffaloes, while 34% are on the Knights. The total of 63 points has seen 43% of bets on the under and 57% on the over. Will the Buffaloes defy the odds or will the Knights maintain their dominance? We attempt to answer that question in our preview of Colorado vs UCF from Orlando.

Colorado Hopes to Build On Miracle Comeback

The Colorado Buffaloes are 3-1 heading into Saturday's Colorado vs UCF matchup. The Buffaloes have won two straight games, blowing out rival Colorado State before winning in a miraculous comeback fashion over Baylor in their Big 12 opener last week. This week, Colorado's defense will need to be better for the first three quarters of play so as not to make things so suspenseful. But the offense of the Buffaloes will be expected to be a threat to the UCF defense once again, as quarterback Shedeur Sanders has thrown for 300+ yards in three of his first four games this season for Deion Sanders' group.

UCF Looks to Remain Undefeated

UCF is off to a 3-0 start in the 2024 college football season, including a 1-0 start after their win over TCU two weeks ago. While most of the hype surrounding UCF going into this season focused on Arkansas transfer quarterback KJ Jefferson, it has been the play of running back RJ Harvey that has been grabbing the attention as the season has gone on. Harvey has rushed for eight touchdowns in three games for the Knights so far this year, rushing for two or more touchdowns in each game early in the season. If he can find running lanes against a Colorado defense that is soft in the trenches, Harvey could have another huge day for his team.

Colorado vs UCF Best Bet

We expect a lot of scoring to be done in Saturday's Colorado vs UCF contest. We will take the over as our best bet for this game, as UCF should be able to use its rushing attack to carve up a soft Colorado defense. Meanwhile, Shedeur Sanders should continue to air it out successfully in a game where both sides should be able to do plenty of scoring regardless of who comes out on top.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+12.5/-110
74% COL
-12.5/-110
26% UCF

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+365
4% COL
-487
96% UCF

Total Pick Consensus

61.0/-108
47% UN
61.0/-112
53% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

COL
Team Stats
UCF
10
GM
10
34.1
PPG
26.4
66.8
PLAYS-PG
66.1
399.2
YDS/G
355.4
6.0
YPP
5.4
21.5
1st DPG
20.0
13.7
1st DPass
11.5
5.3
1st DRush
6.5
2.5
1st Pen
2.0
7.5
Pen-Gm
6.6
68.2
Pen-Yds
48.8
0.5
FUM-G
0.2
0.7
INT-G
0.9

Defense/Offense

COL
Team Stats
UCF
10
GM
10
22.7
PPG
33.0
69.4
PLAYS-PG
68.7
357.7
YDS/G
464.6
5.2
YPP
6.8
20.2
1st DPG
24.0
9.1
1st DPass
8.5
8.8
1st DRush
14.1
2.3
1st Pen
1.4
7.6
Pen-Gm
6.3
67.6
Pen-Yds
53.8
1.0
FUM-G
0.6
1.0
INT-G
0.9

Offense/Defense

COL
Rushing
UCF
28.0
ATT
32.6
77.0
Y/G
115.9
2.8
Y/A
3.6
1.4
TD/G
1.1

Defense/Offense

COL
Rushing
UCF
37.9
ATT
43.8
138.7
Y/G
262.8
3.7
Y/A
6.0
1.1
TD/G
3.0

Offense/Defense

COL
Passing
UCF
28
CMP
21.8
38.8
ATT
33.5
72.2
CMP%
65.1
322.2
Y/G
239.5
8.3
Y/A
7.1
2.7
TD/G
1.9

Defense/Offense

COL
Passing
UCF
19.1
CMP
15
31.5
ATT
24.9
60.6
CMP%
60.2
219
Y/G
201.8
7
Y/A
8.1
1.5
TD/G
1.2

COL
Special Teams
UCF
4.2
Punts-GM
3.2
43.4
Punt Avg
43.1
1.0
Kick Ret GM
2.0
23.0
Kick Ret Avg
17.8
1.8
Punt Ret GM
1.4
10.0
Punt Ret Avg
9.9

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
COL UCF
COL UCF
Consensus
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-113)
+13.0 (-110)
-13.0 (-108)
+12.5 (-112)
-12.5 (-112)
+13.0 (-112)
-13.0 (-108)
+12.5 (-102)
-12.5 (-115)
+12.5 (-102)
-12.5 (-120)
+12.0 (-109)
-12.0 (-115)
+12.0 (-109)
-12.0 (-115)
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
+13.0 (-110)
-13.0 (-110)
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
COL UCF
COL UCF
Consensus
+366
-488
+365
-487
+350
-455
+360
-470
+365
-490
+365
-490
+360
-500
+360
-500
+345
-455
+345
-455
+375
-500
+375
-500
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
61.0 (-110)
61.0 (-112)
61.0 (-110)
61.0 (-112)
60.5 (-110)
60.5 (-110)
60.5 (-110)
60.5 (-110)
61.5 (-105)
61.5 (-115)
61.5 (-105)
61.5 (-115)
61.0 (-109)
61.0 (-112)
61.0 (-109)
61.0 (-112)
60.5 (-110)
60.5 (-110)
61.0 (-110)
61.0 (-110)
61.5 (-105)
61.5 (-115)
61.5 (-105)
61.5 (-115)