Boise State vs Washington Prediction: LA Bowl Under

The Boise State Broncos will face the Washington Huskies in the 2025 LA Bowl on Saturday. This is a showdown that pits this season's Mountain West champions against a Big Ten team looking to close their season on a high note. Washington is a significant favorite going into this matchup that will kick off the 2025 college football bowl season. Before kickoff, continue reading to get my Boise State vs Washington prediction.

Our Boise State vs Washington Pick

Pick: Under 51.5
Confidence: 3 out of 5

Game Snapshot

Matchup: Boise State Broncos vs Washington Huskies
Date & Time: Saturday, December 13, 2025, 9:00 PM ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California
Broadcast: ABC

Key Storylines

Boise State’s momentum and bowl streak: The Broncos clinched the Mountain West Championship with a 38–21 win over UNLV. That was their third straight conference title and this season extended their streak of bowl-eligible seasons to 28. That is the second-longest active bowl eligibility streak in the country and Boise will try to make the most of this trip to a bowl game.
Washington seeking a strong finish after a bumpy Big Ten slate: The Huskies went 8–4 this season with an offense that averaged 33.8 points per game. They are looking to end the year strong after going 5-4 in the Big Ten. Washington's defense was strong for the most part this year, but the Huskies clearly hit a ceiling against the better programs in the Big Ten.
Bowl history: This is the seventh all-time meeting between these squads and their third bowl game matchup. The series has been competitive, with the Huskies leading 4–2. But Boise State has proven capable of springing surprises in postseason play. These teams also have the common thread of having been back-to-back coaching stops for Chris Petersen, who made his name with the Broncos before moving onto UW.

Quarterback Play

Boise State comes into this game with Maddux Madsen under center, who was instrumental in the team's conference title win. In that game, Madsen threw for 289 yards and three touchdowns. He also added a rushing score. Washington’s signal-caller is Demond Williams Jr., who had 2,850 passing yards during the regular season with 21 touchdowns and 8 interceptions.

Betting Trends

Boise State is 8-4-1 against the spread this season.
Washington went 6-6 against the spread this year.
The under is 7-6 in games featuring Boise State this year.
Washington was 6-6 in the over/under market this season.

Boise State vs Washington Model Projection

Score Projection: Boise State 20 – Washington 27

Win Probability: Boise State 32%, Washington 68%

Final Thoughts

My best bet for the LA Bowl is for it to go under the total. Washington has a very good defense this season and they should make life difficult on a Boise State team that struggled against higher-level competition out of conference this year. No matter who wins this matchup, I'm expecting the total to fall short of 50 points from SoFi Stadium in Inglewood.

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Key Storylines

Boise State’s momentum and bowl streak: The Broncos clinched the Mountain West Championship with a 38–21 win over UNLV. That was their third straight conference title and this season extended their streak of bowl-eligible seasons to 28. That is the second-longest active bowl eligibility streak in the country and Boise will try to make the most of this trip to a bowl game.

Washington seeking a strong finish after a bumpy Big Ten slate: The Huskies went 8–4 this season with an offense that averaged 33.8 points per game. They are looking to end the year strong after going 5-4 in the Big Ten. Washington's defense was strong for the most part this year, but the Huskies clearly hit a ceiling against the better programs in the Big Ten.

Bowl history: This is the seventh all-time meeting between these squads and their third bowl game matchup. The series has been competitive, with the Huskies leading 4–2. But Boise State has proven capable of springing surprises in postseason play. These teams also have the common thread of having been back-to-back coaching stops for Chris Petersen, who made his name with the Broncos before moving onto UW.

Quarterback Play

Final Thoughts

Boise State vs Washington LA Bowl Prediction - 12/13/2025

Our Boise State vs Washington Pick

Game Snapshot

Key Storylines

Quarterback Play

Betting Trends

Boise State vs Washington Model Projection

Final Thoughts

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Our Boise State vs Washington Pick

Game Snapshot

Key Storylines

Quarterback Play

Betting Trends

Boise State vs Washington Model Projection

Final Thoughts