The Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl should be a good one when the Baylor Bears (6-6) battle the Air Force Falcons (9-3) Thursday night. Baylor is appearing in their 27th bowl goal and will look to improve on their 14-12 record. Air Force is making their 29th appearance and are 14-13-1. Below is my college football pick for Baylor vs Air Force.
Baylor vs Air Force Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Air Force +6.5 |
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This game will be played at Amon G. Carter Stadium at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 22, 2022.
Why Bet Air Force +6.5
✅ Air Force is 5-1 straight up in their last six games.
✅ The Falcons like December as they are 4-1 against the spread during the holiday season.
NCAAFB
Baylor Bears
Air Force Falcons
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
| BAYL | Passing | AIRF |
|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | CMP | 14 |
| 30.8 | ATT | 22.1 |
| 60.1 | CMP% | 63.3 |
| 243.8 | Y/G | 175.8 |
| 7.9 | Y/A | 8 |
| 2.3 | TD/G | 0.9 |
Defense/Offense
| BAYL | Passing | AIRF |
|---|---|---|
| 18.7 | CMP | 6 |
| 31.1 | ATT | 13.3 |
| 60.1 | CMP% | 45.1 |
| 230.4 | Y/G | 94.9 |
| 7.4 | Y/A | 7.1 |
| 1.9 | TD/G | 0.4 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
| BAYL | Rushing | AIRF |
|---|---|---|
| 35.9 | ATT | 34.3 |
| 184.8 | Y/G | 162.7 |
| 5.1 | Y/A | 4.7 |
| 2.1 | TD/G | 2.1 |
Defense/Offense
| BAYL | Rushing | AIRF |
|---|---|---|
| 40.7 | ATT | 55.4 |
| 155.9 | Y/G | 209.4 |
| 3.8 | Y/A | 3.8 |
| 1.3 | TD/G | 1.8 |
Special Teams
| BAYL | Special Teams | AIRF |
|---|---|---|
| 3.6 | Punts-GM | 4.1 |
| 48.9 | Punt Avg | 44.3 |
| 2.2 | Kick Ret GM | 0.3 |
| 20.6 | Kick Ret Avg | 18.0 |
| 1.4 | Punt Ret GM | 0.7 |
| 20.7 | Punt Ret Avg | 6.0 |
Betting Trends
| BAYL | Betting Trends | AIRF |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 19.33 | Avg Score | 24 |
| 32.67 | Avg Opp Score | 6 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 36.67 | Avg Score | 24 |
| 30 | Avg Opp Score | 7.33 |
| BAYL | Betting Trends | AIRF |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 28.2 | Avg Score | 19.8 |
| 30 | Avg Opp Score | 8.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
| 36.2 | Avg Score | 19.8 |
| 31.4 | Avg Opp Score | 10.2 |
| BAYL | Betting Trends | AIRF |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 31.4 | Avg Score | 24.3 |
| 28.3 | Avg Opp Score | 13.2 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 29.1 | Avg Score | 29.8 |
| 24.6 | Avg Opp Score | 13.3 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Baylor Bears
Last time out, Baylor ended their regular season with a 38-27 loss at Texas. The Longhorns led 14-9 after the first quarter, but the Bears came fighting back and led 19-17 at the break. Texas retook the lead after the third quarter but needed two late touchdowns to secure the win.
Blake Shapen went 18/36 for 179 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. Defensively, Baylor allowed 402 total yards and recovered two Texas fumbles.
Through 12 games, Baylor is scoring 33.6 points per game and gaining 429.2 yards, 235.1 through the air and 194.1 on the ground. Defensively, the Bears allow 26.6 points and 370.3 yards, 232.8 passing and 137.6 rushing.
Air Force Falcons
Air Force visited the San Diego State Aztecs and won a sleepy 13-3 game. The Falcons led 7-0 after the first quarter, and at the half, on their way to scoring the first 10 points of the game. SDSU got on the board with a third quarter field goal, but that was all the Aztecs offense would show up for.
Brad Roberts ran the ball 35 times for 187 yards, a 5.3 average, and one touchdown in the win. Defensively, Air Force allowed 187 total yards and forced three SDSU turnovers, two interceptions and one recovered fumble.
After 12 games, Air Force is scoring 27.7 points per game and gaining 398.7 yards, 67.8 through the air and 330.9 on the ground. Defensively, the Falcons allow 13.3 points and 256.4 yards, 156.7 passing and 99.8 rushing.
