Updated March 20, 2026
The NCAA Tournament rolls into the Round of 32 with a clash between Texas and Gonzaga on Saturday. Both programs advanced through competitive first-round games and now face a major step up in competition. Gonzaga enters as a higher seed with a proven postseason track record, while Texas arrives with confidence after knocking off BYU behind a strong interior performance. Who will win the big man battle to help their team advance? Continue reading to get my Texas vs Gonzaga prediction.
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Texas enters this contest after a 79-71 win over BYU, a game where its frontcourt presence and shot selection made the difference. The Longhorns showed an ability to control tempo late and execute in half-court sets, which will be critical against a Gonzaga team that thrives offensively.
Gonzaga advanced with a 73-64 win over Kennesaw State, extending its long streak of opening-round success. Despite shooting under 40% from the field, the Bulldogs dominated the glass and leaned on balanced scoring to pull away late. That rebounding advantage could again play a major role against Texas.
This game pits Gonzaga’s efficient offense and depth against a Texas group that prefers physical play and interior scoring. Whichever team imposes its preferred pace is likely to dictate the outcome.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
Texas Longhorns
Stat | Texas | Gonzaga |
|---|---|---|
Points per game | 83.2 | 84.8 |
Points allowed per game | 76.3 | 65.9 |
Team Field Goal % | 48% | 51% |
Rebounds per game | 37.9 | 40.1 |
Assists per game | 12.3 | 18.3 |
ATS records this season
Over/Under records this season
Gonzaga enters with a clear offensive edge, averaging nearly 85 points per game and ranking among the most efficient scoring teams in the country. Even in a subpar shooting performance in the first round, the Bulldogs controlled the game through rebounding and second-chance opportunities. That ability to win without elite shooting is a strong indicator heading into this matchup.
Texas has the physical tools to compete, especially inside, but it faces a challenge against Gonzaga’s balance and depth. The Longhorns will need to slow the pace and limit transition chances, yet Gonzaga’s ability to score in both half-court and open-floor situations makes that difficult. With multiple scoring options and a proven tournament track record, Gonzaga holds the edge in consistency and execution. Expect Texas to keep it competitive early, but Gonzaga’s offensive efficiency and rebounding should carry it to a win and cover.
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