Purdue -3 (-110) over Tennessee
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- Tennessee has no answer for Zach Edey in the paint and the Purdue big man should be the primary difference in this contest.
- Purdue is also the top three-point shooting team in college basketball, which should help them build a lead and keep it.
The Tennessee Volunteers are set to take on the Purdue Boilermakers in the Elite 8 round of the NCAA Tournament on March 31, 2024, at 2:20 pm ET. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Volunteers are 3.0 point underdogs. Early betting trends show that 30% of spread bets are on the Volunteers, while 70% are on the Boilermakers. The total is set at 148.0, with 25% of bets on the under and 75% on the over. Don't miss this exciting matchup between these two college basketball powerhouses.
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In Sunday’s Tennessee vs Purdue matchup, three-point shooting will be the key on both sides. The Purdue Boilermakers are the top three-point shooting team in college basketball coming into this matchup. That should give them the advantage, but Tennessee has plenty of shooters of their own and is more than capable of stealing this one.
Of course, Purdue is protected somewhat against a bad shooting game by the presence of Zach Edey. Edey has been simply flawless in this year’s tournament, getting whatever he wants at the rim and shooting well at the free throw line. Tennessee is going to have a hard time stopping him, which could offset any issues that the Boilermakers have behind the three-point line.
In order to have a chance to pull off the upset in this matchup, Tennessee will need a more efficient shooting game from Dalton Knecht than they’ve got over the last two games. Knecht was very efficient against Saint Peter’s in the first round of the tournament. But since then, he has shot just 13/41 from the field in the last two games. The Tennessee star has to be better if his team is going to reach the Final Four.
Tennessee is also dealing with an illness that could cost them in this game. Santiago Vescovi missed the last round against Creighton due to the flu. If he isn’t at or near 100% for this game, the Vols could be without one of their major pieces in a game where they will need everything to go right for them to win.
We have the Purdue Boilermakers winning this Tennessee vs Purdue matchup and covering the spread in the process. The Boilermakers just have too many scoring options to contend with, while Tennessee relies too heavily on Knecht, especially with Vescovi dealing with the flu. Look for Purdue to get to the Final Four, where they will be favored over either Duke or NC State.
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NCAABB
Tennessee Volunteers
Purdue Boilermakers
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
TENN
Advanced Game Stats
PUR
68.8 Pace 68.6 128.0 Off.Rate 105.2 .415 FTr .224 .355 3PAr .391 .678 TS% .523 60.0 TRB% 48.6 58.7 AST% 57.0 12.0 STL% 9.3 20.2 BLK% 7.8 .654 eFG% .490 17.5 TOV% 11.8 39.2 ORB% 27.5 .313 TF/FGA .176
TENN
Advanced Game Stats
PUR
68.8 Pace 68.6 88.7 Off.Rate 116.3 .279 FTr .428 .524 3PAr .387 .470 TS% .612 40.0 TRB% 51.4 46.3 AST% 68.6 12.0 STL% 6.7 5.7 BLK% 6.8 .421 eFG% .590 17.2 TOV% 14.9 25.7 ORB% 25.5 .223 TF/FGA .292 Betting Trends
TENN
Betting Trends
PUR
OVERALL OVERALL 3-0-0 Win/Loss/Tie 3-0-0 2-1-0 ATS W/L/P 3-0-0 75.67 Avg Score 88 60.67 Avg Opp Score 61.67 AWAY HOME 3-0-0 Win/Loss/Tie 3-0-0 2-1-0 ATS W/L/P 3-0-0 73 Avg Score 88 66.67 Avg Opp Score 61.67
TENN
Betting Trends
PUR
OVERALL OVERALL 3-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 4-1-0 2-3-0 ATS W/L/P 3-2-0 72.8 Avg Score 81.2 68 Avg Opp Score 64.6 AWAY HOME 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 4-1-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 3-2-0 76 Avg Score 81.2 69.6 Avg Opp Score 64.6
TENN
Betting Trends
PUR
OVERALL OVERALL 8-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 9-1-0 6-4-0 ATS W/L/P 5-5-0 76.1 Avg Score 82.1 67.5 Avg Opp Score 68.2 AWAY HOME 7-3-0 Win/Loss/Tie 9-1-0 4-6-0 ATS W/L/P 5-5-0 80.7 Avg Score 82.3 75.8 Avg Opp Score 67 Head to Head
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