An interesting Big 12/SEC Challenge game is set for Saturday afternoon when the #11 TCU Horned Frogs (16-4) visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-8). TCU enters this game having won three of their last four games, while Mississippi State is on a five-game skid. Below is my college basketball pick for TCU vs Mississippi State.
TCU vs Mississippi State Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | TCU -3 |
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This game will be played at Humphrey Coliseum at 4:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 28, 2023.
Why Bet TCU -3
✅ TCU is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games played.
✅ The Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against SEC opponents.
✅ Mississippi State is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games.
NCAABB
TCU Horned Frogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| TCU | Advanced Game Stats | MSPST |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6 | Pace | 69.7 |
| 103.0 | Off.Rate | 97.2 |
| .355 | FTr | .350 |
| .372 | 3PAr | .405 |
| .517 | TS% | .522 |
| 50.6 | TRB% | 46.5 |
| 57.0 | AST% | 55.1 |
| 12.4 | STL% | 7.2 |
| 12.5 | BLK% | 7.6 |
| .497 | eFG% | .492 |
| 14.4 | TOV% | 18.1 |
| 31.4 | ORB% | 27.7 |
| .215 | TF/FGA | .234 |
Defense/Offense
| TCU | Advanced Game Stats | MSPST |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6 | Pace | 69.7 |
| 94.2 | Off.Rate | 120.7 |
| .278 | FTr | .328 |
| .424 | 3PAr | .408 |
| .506 | TS% | .563 |
| 49.4 | TRB% | 53.5 |
| 57.9 | AST% | 58.0 |
| 7.8 | STL% | 14.2 |
| 6.7 | BLK% | 12.1 |
| .469 | eFG% | .538 |
| 18.6 | TOV% | 10.7 |
| 29.3 | ORB% | 35.8 |
| .207 | TF/FGA | .225 |
Betting Trends
| TCU | Betting Trends | MSPST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-3-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 75.67 | Avg Score | 60.33 |
| 62 | Avg Opp Score | 65.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 74.33 | Avg Score | 60.67 |
| 71 | Avg Opp Score | 61.67 |
| TCU | Betting Trends | MSPST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-5-0 |
| 4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 76.8 | Avg Score | 58.8 |
| 66.6 | Avg Opp Score | 64.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-4-0 |
| 4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
| 77.2 | Avg Score | 60.2 |
| 74.2 | Avg Opp Score | 64.2 |
| TCU | Betting Trends | MSPST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-8-0 |
| 7-2-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
| 78.4 | Avg Score | 59.8 |
| 67.8 | Avg Opp Score | 66.7 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 7-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-9-0 |
| 72.6 | Avg Score | 64.6 |
| 70.3 | Avg Opp Score | 60.1 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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TCU Horned Frogs
TCU hosted the Oklahoma Sooners and dominated in a 79-52 victory. This game was over before it started as TCU scored the first nine points of the game and never looked back. TCU led by 17 points and the break and continued that dominance into the second half for the easy win. The Horned Frogs led by as many as 31 (!) points, never trailed in the game, and easily covered the -5.0-point spread.
Mike Miles Jr. had 23 points, three rebounds, and two steals on the night. Damion Baugh added 13 points, one rebound, five assists, and two steals in the win.
Through 20 games, TCU is scoring 77.7 points per game, shooting 46.4% from the field, and assisting on 16.3 made shots. The Horned Frogs are allowing 64.3 points, grabbing 37.3 rebounds, blocking 3.7 shots, and stealing the ball 9.7 times.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State visited the second-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide and lost a tough 66-63 contest. The Bulldogs were impressive in this one and had the win in their grasps until very late on. It was a tied game with under 10 minutes to go, but the Crimson Tide started to pull away and were able to hold off the Bulldogs for the win. Mississippi State led by as many as 11 points, trailed by as much as eight, and covered the +11.5-point spread.
Tolu Smith had 15 points, seven rebounds, three assists, and one block in the game. Dashawn Davis had 14 points, four rebounds, two assists, and four steals in the defeat.
After 20 games, Mississippi State is scoring 64.9 points per game, shooting 40.7% from the field, and assisting on 13.9 made shots. The Bulldogs are allowing 58.7 points, grabbing 38.2 rebounds, blocking 3.7 shots, and stealing the ball 9.7 times.
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