South Florida Bulls vs Florida Atlantic Owls Prediction – 2/15/2026

This Sunday’s American Athletic Conference game between the South Florida Bulls and the Florida Atlantic Owls is important for both teams’ postseason hopes in the final stretch of the 2025-26 season. South Florida (17-8, 9-3 AAC) enters this road game off a convincing 89-75 win over FAU in late January and looks to continue its strong run toward a top seed in the AAC tournament. Florida Atlantic (14-11, 6-6 AAC) has struggled of late, dropping five consecutive games and looking to find its footing at home. Before tip-off from Boca Raton, you will find my South Florida vs Florida Atlantic prediction right here.

Our South Florida vs Florida Atlantic Pick

Pick:

Confidence: 3 out of 5

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: South Florida Bulls @ Florida Atlantic Owls
• Date & Time: February 15, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
• Venue: Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena, Boca Raton, Florida
• Broadcast: ESPN2

Key Storylines

South Florida’s recent momentum has been one of the more interesting storylines in the AAC. The Bulls posted a strong 89-75 victory over FAU in their first meeting this season, breaking a trend of close games and highlighting their ability to pull away in the second half. USF’s offense has been productive, averaging near 90 points over recent games, helping the Bulls to win three straight games and get to the top of the AAC standings.

Florida Atlantic has hit a rough patch. The Owls have lost their last five games overall and are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six outings. Their overall record reflects inconsistency, and recent losses suggest some offensive stagnation since their hot start earlier in the conference slate. FAU’s defense has occasionally kept games competitive, but without production from its top options on offense, closing the gap on better squads has proven difficult.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

Past meetings

• South Florida won the first meeting this season 89-75 on January 25, 2026.
• USF is 16-4 all-time against FAU in men’s basketball.
• FAU swept USF over two games last year, and will try to avoid being swept this season with a win on Sunday.

ATS and O/U records

• USF is 12-12 against the spread so far this season.
• Florida Atlantic is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
• FAU comes into this game with a 14-9 record against the spread.

Home/road splits

• South Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 road games and 6-3 on the road overall this season.
• FAU is 9-3 at home going into this Sunday afternoon contest.

South Florida vs Florida Atlantic Model Projection

Score Projection:

Win Probability:

Final Thoughts

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

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