South Alabama vs Louisiana Sun Belt Championship Pick 3/6/23

Jay Sanin on March 7th, 2023

The Sun Belt Championship Game is on tap for Monday night, as the South Alabama Jaguars take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns. The Ragin’ Cajuns enter this game as a slight favorite as the second seed in this tournament, while the Jaguars look to keep pulling upsets as the seventh seed. In the latest installment of our college basketball picks, we break down this South Alabama vs Louisiana matchup.

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South Alabama vs Louisiana Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick:	South Alabama +1.5
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This game will be played at Pensacola Bay Center at 7:00 PM ET on Monday, March 6, 2023.

Why Bet on South Alabama:

✅ Louisiana is the higher seed in this game, but they did not look convincing at all in the semifinal round. They barely escaped against 11-seed Texas State, and their lack of convincing play will catch up with them in the final.

✅ South Alabama, meanwhile, has been excellent in the Sun Belt Tournament so far. They beat Southern Miss, the top seed in the tournament, by double figures. They will continue to play at a high level despite being the lower seed.

✅ Kenpom has South Alabama ranked ahead of Louisiana, and bettors should not go by the records and seedings blindly in this contest.

NCAABB

Mar 06, 2023 07:00 PM

South Alabama Jaguars

Louisiana Ragin Cajuns

Spread Pick Consensus

N/A SALA

LOULAF N/A

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+105

-126

N/A SALA

LOULAF N/A

Total Pick Consensus

138.5/

138.5/

N/A UN

OV N/A

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

SALA	Team Stats Per Game	LOULAF
71.91	PTS GM	78.09
56	FGA	55.27
.437	FG%	.482
.328	3PT%	.365
9.36	ORB	12.09
2.26	DRB	2.35
34.18	TRB	37.91
19.55	FTA	24.09
.698	FT%	.725
15.36	AST	12.64
2.82	BLK	3.91
9.27	TO	13.91
12.27	PF	16.45

Defense/Offense

SALA	Team Stats Per Game	LOULAF
65.91	PTS GM	66.27
56.09	FGA	56.82
.397	FG%	.410
.372	3PT%	.310
10.45	ORB	9.45
2.25	DRB	1.84
35.18	TRB	29.64
12	FTA	18.36
.742	FT%	.698
15.64	AST	11.18
3.36	BLK	2.82
14.45	TO	11.82
14.73	PF	18.36

Advanced Game Stats

Offense/Defense

SALA	Advanced Game Stats	LOULAF
64.8	Pace	68.2
109.8	Off.Rate	114.5
.349	FTr	.436
.510	3PAr	.365
.551	TS%	.585
49.3	TRB%	56.1
62.8	AST%	47.4
14.4	STL%	9.7
12.4	BLK%	11.3
.520	eFG%	.549
12.4	TOV%	17.3
27.5	ORB%	37.5
.244	TF/FGA	.316

Defense/Offense

SALA	Advanced Game Stats	LOULAF
64.8	Pace	68.2
100.6	Off.Rate	97.1
.214	FTr	.323
.596	3PAr	.392
.533	TS%	.506
50.7	TRB%	43.9
70.2	AST%	48.0
7.8	STL%	11.1
12.3	BLK%	8.0
.508	eFG%	.470
19.0	TOV%	15.3
29.6	ORB%	26.8
.159	TF/FGA	.226

Betting Trends

SALA	Betting Trends	LOULAF
OVERALL		OVERALL
3-0-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-0-0
3-0-0	ATS W/L/P	2-1-0
73.67	Avg Score	68.33
62.67	Avg Opp Score	57
AWAY		HOME
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-0-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	2-1-0
72.33	Avg Score	68.33
67	Avg Opp Score	57

SALA	Betting Trends	LOULAF
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-1-0
4-1-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
72.2	Avg Score	71.6
65.8	Avg Opp Score	63.8
AWAY		HOME
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	5-0-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	3-2-0
70	Avg Score	74.8
65.8	Avg Opp Score	62.4

SALA	Betting Trends	LOULAF
OVERALL		OVERALL
8-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	7-3-0
8-2-0	ATS W/L/P	5-5-0
73.5	Avg Score	73.7
59.9	Avg Opp Score	67.8
AWAY		HOME
5-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	10-0-0
6-4-0	ATS W/L/P	6-4-0
71.5	Avg Score	77.7
68.4	Avg Opp Score	65.6

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
02/24/2023	SALA LOULAF	146.5 -4.0	+151 -185	64 74
01/14/2023	LOULAF SALA	139.5 2.5	-146 +119	79 76
01/20/2022	SALA LOULAF	147.5 -2.5	+111 -132	77 70
03/06/2021	SALA LOULAF	146.5 -2.5	+120 -138	68 79
02/13/2020	LOULAF SALA	142.5 -7.0	+240 -303	75 78
01/02/2020	SALA LOULAF	148.5 3.5	-161 +135	60 57
03/14/2019	SALA LOULAF	151.0 -2.5	+125 -145	70 69
01/24/2019	SALA LOULAF	152.5 -9.0	+350 -450	84 88
02/24/2018	LOULAF SALA	153.0 10.5	-600 +500	88 71
01/25/2018	SALA LOULAF	148.0 -14.0	+1000 -1200	57 76

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/07/24	GAS SALA	236.8 -5.5	+227 -277	119 111
03/01/24	LAMON SALA	234.7 -12.2	+425 -544	112 130
02/28/24	SOUMIS SALA	169.1 -4.0	+158 -193	79 83
02/24/24	SALA ARKST	235.5 -13.0	+483 -632	120 146
02/22/24	SALA SOUMIS	195.1 -5.3	+202 -248	111 85
02/17/24	ARKST SALA	169.2 3.0	-163 +132	83 80
02/15/24	TXST SALA	158.6 -2.9	+139 -171	64 84
02/10/24	NILL SALA	46.6 -1.7	+62 -77	21 23
02/07/24	GAS SALA	148.5 -4.4	+161 -196	64 76
02/03/24	SALA LOULAF	129.0 -6.3	+221 -288	51 68

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/09/24	LOULAF ARKST	60.4 -1.2	+54 -65	25 36
03/07/24	COAST LOULAF	232.9 -18.0	+810 -1175	103 125
03/01/24	SOUMIS LOULAF	243.7 -13.9	+500 -660	99 126
02/28/24	TROY LOULAF	169.1 -2.8	+139 -171	98 83
02/24/24	LOULAF SOUMIS	224.7 7.1	-236 +195	109 126
02/22/24	LOULAF LAMON	191.1 11.5	-398 +312	79 88
02/17/24	LOULAF APPLST	158.2 -7.7	+268 -343	80 93
02/15/24	LOULAF OLD	173.7 6.1	-224 +184	79 70
02/11/24	BOWLGR LOULAF	154.7 -7.7	+260 -334	62 88
02/07/24	GAST LOULAF	149.0 -8.3	+306 -396	76 68

JOIN

South Alabama Jaguars

The South Alabama Jaguars have won three straight games in the Sun Belt Tournament to make it to the championship game. They have defeated App State, Southern Miss, and James Madison over the last four days. If the Jaguars can win one more game as an underdog on Monday night, the Jaguars could get their 20th win and reach the NCAA Tournament.

It has been the defense of South Alabama that could make the difference in this contest. They have allowed 62.7 points per game over their three games in this tournament, and one more solid defensive showing could send them to the Big Dance.

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns

The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns enter the Sun Belt Championship Game as the favorite, but just barely, after nearly crashing out against Texas State on Sunday. Their offense has averaged just 65.5 points per game over their two conference tournament games. To make it to the NCAA Tournament, the Ragin’ Cajuns will need to be better on the offensive end of the floor.

Louisiana’s center Jordan Brown will be especially important if the Cajuns are going to win this contest. Brown has averaged 17.0 points per game in this tournament. But with the offensive struggles going on around him this week, the 6’11 junior may need to do even more offensively to get his team to the tourney.