The Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference showdown between the Siena Saints and the Marist Red Foxes on Sunday is a key late‑season battle with MAAC tournament seeding implications. Siena enters this rivalry contest with a 17‑9 overall mark and 10‑5 in conference play, battling to stay in the upper tier of the standings after back‑to‑back losses. Marist is 16‑9 and 10‑6 in league games, and is looking to rebound following an 81‑56 road loss at Merrimack. Before tip-off in this massive matchup in the MAAC, you will find my analysis and my Siena vs Marist prediction below.
Our Siena vs Marist Pick
Pick:
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Siena Saints @ Marist Red Foxes
- Date & Time: Sunday, February 15, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
- Venue: McCann Arena, Poughkeepsie, New York
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
Siena is coming off a pair of disappointing performances where its usually potent offense sputtered, shooting poorly against a stout Quinnipiac defense, and falling to 17‑9 overall and 10‑5 in the MAAC. The Saints are led by Gavin Doty, who averages over 17 points and 7 rebounds per game and remains a focal point for coach Gerry McNamara’s offense. However, inconsistencies from perimeter shooters and a tendency to struggle in crunch time have hindered Siena late in games. Siena’s confidence could also be a factor as it seeks to respond after two straight losses.
Marist has endured an up‑and‑down week, with a recent lopsided defeat on the road to Merrimack. But Marist still maintains a solid home record and defensive identity. The Red Foxes rank near the top of the conference in field goal percentage defense and hold opponents under 64 points per game on average. Justin Menard and Rhyjon Blackwell provide the main scoring threats, with Blackwell particularly effective from long range and Menard contributing efficiently inside and on the glass for Marist. The Red Foxes also have a strong 10‑2 record at McCann Arena this season and they will try to use that to their advantage in this spot.
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- Siena is 1‑4 ATS in its last 5 games.
- Marist is 5‑0 ATS in its last 5 Sunday games.
- Siena is 30-22 all-time against Marist.
- Siena won the first meeting between these teams this season by 19 points in Albany.
- Marist had won four straight games over Siena before Siena’s win over the Red Foxes on January 22.
Siena vs Marist Model Projection
Score Projection:
Win Probability:
Final Thoughts
