A West Coast Conference showdown is set for Thursday night when the San Francisco Dons (15-9, 4-5 WCC) visit the Saint Mary’s Gaels (19-4, 8-0). Saint Mary’s is on their way to a WCC regular season title, though they need to play Gonzaga still, but the San Francisco has turned things around and could be a tough test. Below is my college basketball prediction for San Francisco vs Saint Mary’s.
San Francisco vs Saint Mary’s Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Saint Mary’s -12.5 |
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This game will be played at University Credit Union Pavilion at 11:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 2, 2023.
Why Bet Saint Mary’s -12.5
✅ Saint Mary’s is 6-2-1 against the spread in their last nine games played
✅ The Gaels are 5-0 straight up in their last five home games.
✅ San Francisco is 0-7 ATS in their last seven games against Saint Mary’s.
NCAABB
San Francisco Dons
Saint Mary's Gaels
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| SF | Advanced Game Stats | STMRY |
|---|---|---|
| 72.1 | Pace | 66.7 |
| 116.5 | Off.Rate | 105.4 |
| .353 | FTr | .242 |
| .417 | 3PAr | .335 |
| .612 | TS% | .520 |
| 54.9 | TRB% | 38.0 |
| 57.1 | AST% | 64.1 |
| 12.5 | STL% | 7.5 |
| 15.1 | BLK% | 5.0 |
| .579 | eFG% | .497 |
| 16.4 | TOV% | 11.4 |
| 32.5 | ORB% | 22.7 |
| .272 | TF/FGA | .165 |
Defense/Offense
| SF | Advanced Game Stats | STMRY |
|---|---|---|
| 72.1 | Pace | 66.7 |
| 83.9 | Off.Rate | 124.4 |
| .249 | FTr | .449 |
| .403 | 3PAr | .324 |
| .464 | TS% | .583 |
| 45.1 | TRB% | 62.0 |
| 42.2 | AST% | 58.6 |
| 12.5 | STL% | 8.5 |
| 5.8 | BLK% | 7.4 |
| .412 | eFG% | .543 |
| 20.7 | TOV% | 12.3 |
| 26.2 | ORB% | 45.6 |
| .215 | TF/FGA | .330 |
Betting Trends
| SF | Betting Trends | STMRY |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 84.67 | Avg Score | 69 |
| 70.67 | Avg Opp Score | 52.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-0-1 |
| 84.33 | Avg Score | 79.33 |
| 81 | Avg Opp Score | 54.33 |
| SF | Betting Trends | STMRY |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-1-1 |
| 80.4 | Avg Score | 72.2 |
| 76.4 | Avg Opp Score | 56.2 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-1 |
| 79 | Avg Score | 81.4 |
| 79 | Avg Opp Score | 57 |
| SF | Betting Trends | STMRY |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 10-0-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-2-1 |
| 76.9 | Avg Score | 74.8 |
| 74.1 | Avg Opp Score | 56.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-1-2 |
| 76.7 | Avg Score | 73 |
| 78 | Avg Opp Score | 57.5 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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San Francisco Dons
Last time out, San Francisco visited the San Diego Toreros and comfortably won 94-81. San Diego jumped out to a big first half lead, but the Dons quickly turned that around and led by four points at halftime. The Toreros were outmatched in the second half and could not keep it close with the Dons. San Francisco led by as many as 18 points, trailed by as much as 11, and covered the -4.0-point spread.
Khalil Shabazz had 26 points, five rebounds, three assists, and two steals on the night. Tyrell Roberts added 15 points, four rebounds, four assists, and two steals in the victory.
Through 24 games, San Francisco is scoring 75.8 points per game, shooting 45.3% from the field, and assisting on 13.5 made shots. The Dons are allowing 70.3 points, grabbing 35.3 rebounds, blocking 2.5 shots, and stealing the ball 6.8 times.
Saint Mary’s Gaels
Saint Mary’s took a trip to BYU and needed a last second shot to leave with a 57-56 win. The Cougars did well to fight back from two big deficits to take a late lead, but they could not finish off the needed upset. Aidan Mahaney hit a shot with 0.3 seconds left to secure the big win. Saint Mary’s led by as many as 11 points, never trailed by more than four, and did not cover the -6.5-point spread.
Logan Johnson had 14 points, three rebounds, two assists, and three steals in the game. Mitchell Saxen added 11 points, 10 rebounds, four assists, one steal, and two blocks in the victory.
After 23 games, Santa Clara is scoring 71.4 points per game, shooting 46.6% from the field, and assisting on 13.0 made shots. The Gaels are allowing 57.1 points, grabbing 36.4 rebounds, blocking 3.5 shots, and stealing the ball 7.5 times.
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