Saint Mary’s Gaels vs Boise State Broncos Prediction – 12/14/2025

The Saint Mary’s Gaels and Boise State Broncos will square off Sunday evening in a non-conference college basketball matchup between two strong programs from outside the Power 4. Saint Mary’s arrives with a 9-1 record, while Boise State holds a 7-3 record and seeks a fourth consecutive victory. The Gaels are slight favorites going into this game and you can find my Saint Mary’s vs Boise State prediction right here.

Our Saint Mary’s vs Boise State Pick

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Saint Mary’s Gaels @ Boise State Broncos
• Date & Time: Sunday, December 14, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
• Venue: Mountain America Center, Idaho Falls, Idaho
• Broadcast: Broncos All-Access

Key Storylines

Saint Mary’s enters this neutral-site battle as a slight favorite with momentum from a 9-1 start and a strong scoring margin. The Gaels average 81.0 points per game while holding opponents to 63.5 points per game. The Gaels are led by Paulius Murauskas, who is scoring 18 points per game and will try to help his team get a win on the road.

Boise State is 7-3 and riding a three-game win streak, including a convincing performance against Duquesne where multiple players contributed in double figures. Drew Fielder leads the Broncos at 13.6 points per contest and Boise State spreads scoring across its rotation, which can present matchup challenges. The question will be whether or not the Broncos can achieve that kind of balance against an elite defensive team in Saint Mary’s.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

• In the last meeting between these teams, Boise State defeated Saint Mary’s 67-65 in overtime.
• Saint Mary’s went 6-3 against the spread so far this year.
• Boise State is 5-3 against the spread for the season.
• The Gaels have gone over the total in 6 of their first 9 games this season.
• Boise State has seen 7 of their first 8 games go under their totals.

Saint Mary’s vs Boise State Model Projection

Final Thoughts

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.