An ACC game is set for Monday night when the North Carolina Tar Heels (18-11, 10-8 in ACC) visit the Florida State Seminoles (9-20, 7-11). According to Joe Lunardi’s latest Bracketology, from Friday, North Carolina is currently the third team out of the bracket. Below is my college basketball prediction for North Carolina vs Florida State.
North Carolina vs Florida State Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | North Carolina -8.5 |
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This game will be played at Donald L. Tucker Center at 7:00 p.m. ET on Monday, February 27, 2023.
Why Bet North Carolina -8.5
✅ North Carolina is 13-7 in their last 20 games played.
✅ The Tar Heels are 10-4 in their last 14 games against the Seminoles.
✅ Florida State is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.
NCAABB
North Carolina Tar Heels
Florida State Seminoles
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| NCAR | Advanced Game Stats | FLST |
|---|---|---|
| 75.4 | Pace | 73.8 |
| 126.4 | Off.Rate | 90.1 |
| .397 | FTr | .476 |
| .377 | 3PAr | .462 |
| .590 | TS% | .522 |
| 55.8 | TRB% | 52.1 |
| 53.7 | AST% | 54.8 |
| 9.3 | STL% | 8.1 |
| 13.7 | BLK% | 9.1 |
| .532 | eFG% | .474 |
| 9.7 | TOV% | 23.7 |
| 34.2 | ORB% | 30.0 |
| .338 | TF/FGA | .332 |
Defense/Offense
| NCAR | Advanced Game Stats | FLST |
|---|---|---|
| 75.4 | Pace | 73.8 |
| 98.6 | Off.Rate | 99.2 |
| .212 | FTr | .470 |
| .409 | 3PAr | .347 |
| .512 | TS% | .507 |
| 44.2 | TRB% | 47.9 |
| 42.7 | AST% | 47.0 |
| 4.4 | STL% | 15.6 |
| 7.9 | BLK% | 21.4 |
| .480 | eFG% | .466 |
| 13.2 | TOV% | 14.8 |
| 24.2 | ORB% | 28.7 |
| .167 | TF/FGA | .309 |
Betting Trends
| NCAR | Betting Trends | FLST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 67.67 | Avg Score | 69.33 |
| 66.33 | Avg Opp Score | 84.33 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-3-0 |
| 0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
| 72.33 | Avg Score | 70.33 |
| 76 | Avg Opp Score | 78 |
| NCAR | Betting Trends | FLST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-4-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
| 73.2 | Avg Score | 70 |
| 70 | Avg Opp Score | 82.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-5-0 |
| 0-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
| 69.2 | Avg Score | 71 |
| 71.8 | Avg Opp Score | 80.4 |
| NCAR | Betting Trends | FLST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-7-0 |
| 3-7-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
| 72.4 | Avg Score | 71.2 |
| 70.7 | Avg Opp Score | 81.6 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-7-0 |
| 2-8-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 71.9 | Avg Score | 72 |
| 72.3 | Avg Opp Score | 76.1 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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North Carolina Tar Heels
Last time out, North Carolina hosted the sixth-ranked Virginia Cavaliers and earned an impressive 71-63 victory. The Tar Heels jumped out to a big first half lead and led by 16 points at halftime. Virginia was better after the half, but they dug themselves too big of a hole and could not recover. North Carolina led by as many as 17 points, never trailed in the game, and covered the -4.5-point spread.
Pete Nance had 22 points, two rebounds, two assists, one steal, and four blocks on the night. R.J. Davis added 16 points, 10 rebounds, and four assists in the win.
Through 29 games, North Carolina is scoring 77.1 points per game, shooting 43.6% from the field, and assisting on 12.0 made shots. The Tar Heels are allowing 71.8 points, grabbing 39.9 rebounds, blocking 3.9 shots, and stealing the ball 5.4 times.
Florida State Seminoles
Florida State visited #13 Miami and used a buzzer beater to pull off the 85-84 upset. The Hurricanes were in total domination of this game, leading by 23 points at the half, but the Seminoles were not going down without a fight. Florida State came firing back and took the lead with three minutes to go, but they needed a Matthew Cleveland buzzer beater to complete the comeback. Florida State trailed by as many as 25 points, never led by more than four, and won outright as 14-point underdogs.
Darin Green Jr. had 20 points, five rebounds, two assists, and four steals in the game. Matthew Cleveland added 20 points, five rebounds, and one steal in the victory.
After 29 games, Florida State is scoring 70.1 points per game, shooting 43.7% from the field, and assisting on 13.8 made shots. The Seminoles are allowing 76.5 points, grabbing 31.3 rebounds, blocking 4.0 shots, and stealing the ball 6.4 times.
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