A fun Mountain West Conference game is set for Tuesday night when the Nevada Wolf Pack (18-6, 8-3 in MWC) visit the New Mexico Lobos (19-4, 6-4). These are two of the top five teams in the conference and both are right in the thick of the at-large discussion. Below is my college basketball prediction for Nevada vs New Mexico.
Nevada vs New Mexico Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Nevada +2.5 |
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This game will be played at The Pit at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 7, 2023.
Why Bet Nevada +2.5
✅ Nevada is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played.
✅ The Wolf Pack are 8-0 in their last eight games against the Lobos.
✅ New Mexico is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against Nevada.
NCAABB
Nevada Wolf Pack
New Mexico Lobos
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| NEVADA | Advanced Game Stats | NMX |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4 | Pace | 78.5 |
| 117.7 | Off.Rate | 94.7 |
| .495 | FTr | .362 |
| .328 | 3PAr | .362 |
| .613 | TS% | .509 |
| 53.1 | TRB% | 51.5 |
| 58.6 | AST% | 65.2 |
| 9.9 | STL% | 10.2 |
| 12.7 | BLK% | 8.7 |
| .593 | eFG% | .490 |
| 15.1 | TOV% | 21.1 |
| 31.0 | ORB% | 34.3 |
| .328 | TF/FGA | .212 |
Defense/Offense
| NEVADA | Advanced Game Stats | NMX |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4 | Pace | 78.5 |
| 96.5 | Off.Rate | 105.4 |
| .355 | FTr | .437 |
| .388 | 3PAr | .348 |
| .484 | TS% | .543 |
| 46.9 | TRB% | 48.5 |
| 48.1 | AST% | 66.2 |
| 8.2 | STL% | 15.3 |
| 10.7 | BLK% | 18.1 |
| .442 | eFG% | .517 |
| 15.4 | TOV% | 16.1 |
| 29.8 | ORB% | 31.2 |
| .248 | TF/FGA | .275 |
Betting Trends
| NEVADA | Betting Trends | NMX |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 69.67 | Avg Score | 82.67 |
| 62 | Avg Opp Score | 84.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 63 | Avg Score | 79.67 |
| 73 | Avg Opp Score | 69.67 |
| NEVADA | Betting Trends | NMX |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 73.6 | Avg Score | 81.2 |
| 71.4 | Avg Opp Score | 78 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 66.2 | Avg Score | 79.6 |
| 65.6 | Avg Opp Score | 73.6 |
| NEVADA | Betting Trends | NMX |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 7-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 74 | Avg Score | 78.4 |
| 67.9 | Avg Opp Score | 76.2 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-4-0 |
| 69.5 | Avg Score | 85.8 |
| 70.9 | Avg Opp Score | 71.3 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Nevada Wolf Pack
Last time out, Nevada hosted the Air Force Falcons and used a big second half to win 72-52. It was just a three-point Wolf Pack lead at the half, but that lead quickly increased after the break. The Falcons were able to make this game close midway through, but the Wolf Pack ended the game on a big run to get the win. Nevada led by as many as 23 points, never led in the game, and easily covered the -11.5-point spread.
Jarod Lucas had 19 points, five rebounds, two assists, and one steal on the night. Will Baker added 17 points and eight rebounds in the victory.
Through 24 games, Nevada is scoring 73.5 points per game, shooting 44.5% from the field, and assisting on 14.0 made shots. The Wolf Pack are allowing 66.1 points, grabbing 34.0 rebounds, blocking 3.1 shots, and stealing the ball 6.2 times.
New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico visited the Utah State Aggies and were comfortably beaten 84-73. The Aggies dominated this game from the start and built a 19-point advantage at halftime. However, the Lobos did not give up and were able to cut the lead in half, but it was too little too late. New Mexico trailed by as many as 20 points, never led by more than two, and could not cover the +4.5-point spread.
Morris Udeze had 16 points and 12 rebounds in the game. Jaelen House added 14 points, two rebounds, three assists, and two steals in the defeat.
After 23 games, New Mexico is scoring 82.0 points per game, shooting 49.1% from the field, and assisting on 14.3 made shots. The Lobos are allowing 71.5 points, grabbing 38.7 rebounds, blocking 4.2 shots, and stealing the ball 7.1 times.
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