NC State vs Wake Forest College Basketball ATS Prediction 1/28/23

Vincent Senick on January 28th, 2023

A fun ACC game is scheduled for Saturday afternoon when the NC State Wolfpack (16-5, 6-4 in ACC) visit the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (14-7, 6-4). These are two of the many teams who are right in the double-bye mix and this game could go a long way towards that. Below is my college basketball prediction for NC State vs Pitt.

NC State vs Wake Forest Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick:	Wake Forest -3
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This game will be played at Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum at 1:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 28, 2023.

Why Bet Wake Forest -3

✅ Wake Forest is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games.

✅ The Demon Deacons are 7-2 ATS in their last nine ACC games.

✅ NC State is 3-6 ATS in their last nine games played.

NCAABB

Jan 28, 2023 01:00 PM

NC State Wolfpack

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Spread Pick Consensus

N/A NCST

WAKE N/A

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+142

-173

N/A NCST

WAKE N/A

Total Pick Consensus

156.0/

156.0/

N/A UN

OV N/A

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

NCST	Team Stats Per Game	WAKE
73.36	PTS GM	64.82
57.64	FGA	57.73
.457	FG%	.384
.317	3PT%	.311
10.64	ORB	11.36
2.09	DRB	2.3
33.64	TRB	36.64
21.64	FTA	15.82
.689	FT%	.776
13	AST	12.27
4.27	BLK	1.36
9.91	TO	15.18
17.73	PF	18.27

Defense/Offense

NCST	Team Stats Per Game	WAKE
66.27	PTS GM	67.36
55.45	FGA	56
.425	FG%	.416
.286	3PT%	.264
11.64	ORB	9.82
2.23	DRB	2.23
36.18	TRB	34.36
18	FTA	19.64
.747	FT%	.736
11.55	AST	12.55
2.64	BLK	4.36
14.55	TO	12.27
18.73	PF	16.18

Advanced Game Stats

Offense/Defense

NCST	Advanced Game Stats	WAKE
66.3	Pace	68.4
109.4	Off.Rate	94.7
.375	FTr	.274
.314	3PAr	.455
.540	TS%	.497
48.2	TRB%	51.6
49.3	AST%	55.3
11.0	STL%	10.5
12.1	BLK%	4.3
.507	eFG%	.455
12.7	TOV%	18.9
30.2	ORB%	31.6
.259	TF/FGA	.213

Defense/Offense

NCST	Advanced Game Stats	WAKE
66.3	Pace	68.4
98.8	Off.Rate	98.5
.325	FTr	.351
.361	3PAr	.430
.518	TS%	.516
51.8	TRB%	48.4
49.0	AST%	53.9
8.0	STL%	11.7
6.7	BLK%	13.9
.476	eFG%	.472
18.5	TOV%	15.8
33.6	ORB%	28.0
.243	TF/FGA	.258

Betting Trends

NCST	Betting Trends	WAKE
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	2-1-0
77.33	Avg Score	77.67
76	Avg Opp Score	78
AWAY		HOME
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	2-1-0
73.33	Avg Score	81.33
71.67	Avg Opp Score	76

NCST	Betting Trends	WAKE
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	4-1-0
77.6	Avg Score	81.6
75.6	Avg Opp Score	74.4
AWAY		HOME
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-1-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	4-1-0
71.4	Avg Score	80.4
74.6	Avg Opp Score	74.6

NCST	Betting Trends	WAKE
OVERALL		OVERALL
8-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	6-4-0
4-6-0	ATS W/L/P	7-3-0
77.4	Avg Score	78.2
71.9	Avg Opp Score	75.8
AWAY		HOME
3-7-0	Win/Loss/Tie	8-2-0
4-6-0	ATS W/L/P	7-3-0
72.3	Avg Score	81.6
77.4	Avg Opp Score	71.8

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/02/2022	NCST WAKE	150.5 -10.0	+405 -578	76 101
02/09/2022	WAKE NCST	154.0 3.5	-169 +138	69 51
02/20/2021	NCST WAKE	140.0 -1.0	-106 -114	80 62
01/27/2021	WAKE NCST	144.0 -8.0	+295 -383	67 72
03/06/2020	WAKE NCST	151.5 -8.5	+310 -400	64 84
12/07/2019	NCST WAKE	146.0 5.5	-245 +195	91 82
02/24/2019	WAKE NCST	151.0 -15.0	+950 -1500	74 94
01/15/2019	NCST WAKE	162.5 9.0	-450 +350	67 71
02/17/2018	NCST WAKE	158.0 -2.5	+125 -145	90 84
01/18/2018	WAKE NCST	157.0 -5.0	+175 -210	63 72

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
04/06/24	NCST PUR	227.2 -14.7	+529 -704	78 98
03/31/24	NCST DUKE	77.5 -3.8	+132 -166	41 35
03/29/24	NCST MARQ	83.2 -4.1	+140 -178	37 32
03/21/24	NCST TXTECH	120.2 -3.7	+133 -164	65 55
03/16/24	NCST NCAR	41.3 -2.8	+110 -152	24 22
03/14/24	NCST DUKE	51.1 -3.9	+165 -235	26 24
03/13/24	NCST SYRA	131.0 -1.3	+89 -108	72 56
03/12/24	LOU NCST	246.5 -15.7	+633 -867	140 155
03/09/24	NCST PITT	58.7 -2.6	+90 -113	29 32
03/04/24	DUKE NCST	107.2 3.0	-191 +152	56 46

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/24/24	GA WAKE	268.2 -13.0	+450 -589	125 115
03/20/24	APPLST WAKE	236.1 -13.6	+472 -628	122 139
03/14/24	WAKE PITT	50.9 0.2	-48 +39	24 28
03/13/24	ND WAKE	118.1 -8.6	+336 -463	51 62
03/09/24	CLMSN WAKE	60.2 -1.4	+57 -70	30 32
03/05/24	GTECH WAKE	225.9 -20.9	+1053 -1773	105 103
03/02/24	WAKE VTECH	136.6 -1.4	+95 -114	69 80
02/27/24	WAKE ND	91.2 3.0	-197 +156	44 48
02/24/24	DUKE WAKE	232.4 -4.6	+193 -233	121 127
02/20/24	PITT WAKE	203.7 -8.4	+290 -364	81 127

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NC State Wolfpack

Last time out, NC State hosted the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and escaped with an 85-82 victory. The Fighting Irish started strong in this one as they ended the first half on a run and led by three points at halftime. That lead was quickly erased and the Wolfpack went on to build a comfortable lead before having to hang on in the end. NC State led by as 11 points, trailed by as much as seven, and did not cover the -9.0-point spread.

Jarkel Joiner had 28 points, six rebounds, one assist, and one steal on the night. Terquavion Smith added 17 points, three rebounds, six assists, three steal, and one block in the win.

Through 21 games, NC State is scoring 79.3 points per game, shooting 45.0% from the field, and assisting on 13.9 made shots. The Wolfpack are allowing 69.6 points, grabbing 37.2 rebounds, blocking 4.6 shots, and stealing the ball 8.6 times.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Wake Forest visited the Pitt Panthers and left with a tough 81-79 defeat. It was all Pitt early as the built a big first half lead and led by 10 points at halftime. The Panthers maintained a big lead most of the second half, but the Demon Deacons battled and had a few chances to win the game late. Wake Forest trailed by as many as 15 points, never led by more than two, and covered the +3.0-point spread.

Cameron Hildreth had 15 points, seven rebounds, three assists, and two steals in the game. Tyree Appleby added 15 points, four rebounds, seven assists, and one steal in the loss.

After 21 games, Wake Forest is scoring 77.4 points per game, shooting 46.9% from the field, and assisting on 13.0 made shots. The Demon Deacons are allowing 72.7 points, grabbing 34.5 rebounds, blocking 2.2 shots, and stealing the ball 6.6 times.