An all-Carolina battle is set for Tuesday night when the NC State Wolfpack (22-8, 12-7 in ACC) visit the Duke Blue Devils (21-8, 12-6). Joe Lunardi had NC State as the eight seed in the Midwest region, in his last Bracketology, and Duke as the seventh seed in the Midwest. Below is my college basketball prediction for NC State vs Duke.
NC State vs Duke Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Duke -4.5 |
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This game will be played at Cameron Indoor Stadium at 7:00 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 28, 2023.
Why Bet Duke -4.5
✅ Duke is 4-1 in their last five games played.
✅ The Blue Devils are 15-0 in their last 15 home games.
✅ NC State is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games.
NCAABB
NC State Wolfpack
Duke Blue Devils
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| NCST | Advanced Game Stats | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2 | Pace | 71.0 |
| 116.6 | Off.Rate | 81.7 |
| .430 | FTr | .224 |
| .298 | 3PAr | .419 |
| .587 | TS% | .435 |
| 51.4 | TRB% | 42.5 |
| 50.8 | AST% | 50.6 |
| 13.0 | STL% | 9.5 |
| 13.8 | BLK% | 7.2 |
| .551 | eFG% | .390 |
| 13.7 | TOV% | 17.6 |
| 32.3 | ORB% | 23.9 |
| .311 | TF/FGA | .183 |
Defense/Offense
| NCST | Advanced Game Stats | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2 | Pace | 71.0 |
| 90.3 | Off.Rate | 124.6 |
| .292 | FTr | .247 |
| .348 | 3PAr | .483 |
| .484 | TS% | .593 |
| 48.6 | TRB% | 57.5 |
| 44.1 | AST% | 56.3 |
| 9.1 | STL% | 12.3 |
| 4.8 | BLK% | 12.9 |
| .438 | eFG% | .569 |
| 19.9 | TOV% | 11.3 |
| 32.0 | ORB% | 36.6 |
| .227 | TF/FGA | .187 |
Betting Trends
| NCST | Betting Trends | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 79.33 | Avg Score | 79 |
| 79.67 | Avg Opp Score | 60.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 71.33 | Avg Score | 76 |
| 66.67 | Avg Opp Score | 63.67 |
| NCST | Betting Trends | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 80.4 | Avg Score | 73.4 |
| 75.2 | Avg Opp Score | 63 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 72.4 | Avg Score | 73.2 |
| 71.4 | Avg Opp Score | 64.2 |
| NCST | Betting Trends | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 78.2 | Avg Score | 72.5 |
| 72.8 | Avg Opp Score | 64.7 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 10-0-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
| 72.6 | Avg Score | 75.4 |
| 71.1 | Avg Opp Score | 63.7 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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NC State Wolfpack
NC State hosted the Clemson Tigers and suffered a surprising 96-71 defeat. This was a shocking performance by the Wolfpack as they never showed up from the opening tip until the final buzzer. The Tigers built a quick lead, led by 25 points at the half, and never looked back. NC State trailed by as many as 30 points, never led in the game, and lost outright as six-point favorites.
D.J. Burns Jr. had 24 points, six rebounds, and two assists on the day. Jarkel Joiner added 16 points, five rebounds, four assists, and one steal in the loss.
Through 30 games, NC State is scoring 78.7 points per game, shooting 45.3% from the field, and assisting on 13.2 made shots. The Wolfpack are allowing 70.3 points, grabbing 37.1 rebounds, blocking 4.8 shots, and stealing the ball 8.2 times.
Duke Blue Devils
Duke welcomed the Virginia Tech Hokies and comfortably won 81-65. The Blue Devils built a double-digit lead just six minutes into the game and they were in cruise control the rest of the game. Duke led by as many as 25 points, never trailed by more than one, and covered the -6.5-point spread.
Jeremy Roach had 19 points, five rebounds, and 10 assists in the game. Mark Mitchell added 17 points, eight rebounds, one steal, and one block in the victory.
After 29 games, Duke is scoring 72.2 points per game, shooting 44.7% from the field, and assisting on 15.0 made shots. The Blue Devils are allowing 63.9 points, grabbing 39.1 rebounds, blocking 4.8 shots, and stealing the ball 5.7 times.
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