A SEC basement dwelling battle is set for Tuesday night when the Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-8, 1-7 in SEC) visit the South Carolina Gamecocks (8-13, 1-7). These are two of the bottom four teams in the conference with South Carolina taking the last place honors. Below is my college basketball pick for Mississippi State vs South Carolina.
Mississippi State vs South Carolina Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Mississippi State -9.5 |
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This game will be played at Colonial Life Arena at 6:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 31, 2023.
Why Bet Mississippi State -9.5
✅ Mississippi State is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against South Carolina.
✅ The Bulldogs are 4-1 straight up in their last five against the Gamecocks.
✅ South Carolina is 1-4 in their last five home games.
NCAABB
Mississippi State Bulldogs
South Carolina Gamecocks
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| MSPST | Advanced Game Stats | SC |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7 | Pace | 67.7 |
| 120.7 | Off.Rate | 99.1 |
| .328 | FTr | .307 |
| .408 | 3PAr | .320 |
| .563 | TS% | .495 |
| 53.5 | TRB% | 48.3 |
| 58.0 | AST% | 41.7 |
| 14.2 | STL% | 10.9 |
| 12.1 | BLK% | 11.2 |
| .538 | eFG% | .463 |
| 10.7 | TOV% | 13.4 |
| 35.8 | ORB% | 28.9 |
| .225 | TF/FGA | .210 |
Defense/Offense
| MSPST | Advanced Game Stats | SC |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7 | Pace | 67.7 |
| 97.2 | Off.Rate | 111.5 |
| .350 | FTr | .447 |
| .405 | 3PAr | .403 |
| .522 | TS% | .565 |
| 46.5 | TRB% | 51.7 |
| 55.1 | AST% | 56.7 |
| 7.2 | STL% | 7.2 |
| 7.6 | BLK% | 8.1 |
| .492 | eFG% | .535 |
| 18.1 | TOV% | 14.0 |
| 27.7 | ORB% | 29.4 |
| .234 | TF/FGA | .300 |
Betting Trends
| MSPST | Betting Trends | SC |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-3-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 67.67 | Avg Score | 68 |
| 67 | Avg Opp Score | 81 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-3-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
| 58.67 | Avg Score | 59 |
| 64.33 | Avg Opp Score | 81.67 |
| MSPST | Betting Trends | SC |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-5-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
| 65 | Avg Score | 63 |
| 68 | Avg Opp Score | 81.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-4-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
| 59.6 | Avg Score | 58.6 |
| 66.2 | Avg Opp Score | 78.8 |
| MSPST | Betting Trends | SC |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-8-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-7-0 |
| 4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 61.1 | Avg Score | 64.6 |
| 67.5 | Avg Opp Score | 76.6 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-8-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-6-0 |
| 4-5-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 60.7 | Avg Score | 61 |
| 64.7 | Avg Opp Score | 70.5 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Mississippi State Bulldogs
Last time out, Mississippi State hosted the #11 TCU Horned Frogs and earned an impressive 81-74 overtime win. The Bulldogs started strong and led by six points at the half. TCU quickly took the lead in the second half, and it was a battle until the end of regulation. Ultimately, the Bulldogs secured the much-needed top 15 win. Mississippi State led by as many as 12 points, never trailed by more than four, and won outright as +1.5-point home underdogs.
Tolu Smith had 27 points, 13 rebounds, five assists, one steal, and four blocks on the day. Dashawn Davis added 16 points, four assists, and one steal in the victory.
Through 21 games, Mississippi State is scoring 65.6 points per game, shooting 41.1% from the field, and assisting on 14.3 made shots. The Bulldogs are allowing 59.4 points, grabbing 38.3 rebounds, blocking 3.9 shots, and stealing the ball 9.5 times.
South Carolina Gamecocks
South Carolina visited the Georgia Bulldogs and lost a tough 81-78 overtime battle. The Gamecocks were the better team for the first 34 minutes of this game, but they could not keep that pace up. Eventually, the Bulldogs got the game to overtime, and their talent advantage took over. South Carolina led by as many as 12 points, never trailed by more than four, and covered the +10.5-point spread.
Gregory Jackson II had 18 points, nine rebounds, three assists, and four steals in the game. Hayden Brown added 17 points, 10 rebounds, and two assists in the defeat.
After 21 games, South Carolina is scoring 64.3 points per game, shooting 39.6% from the field, and assisting on 10.6 made shots. The Gamecocks are allowing 73.4 points, grabbing 35.3 rebounds, blocking 2.8 shots, and stealing the ball 5.0 times.
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