A SEC battle is set for Saturday night when the Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-4, 1-3 in the SEC) visit the #21 Auburn Tigers (13-3, 3-1). These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings as Auburn is in play for a conference tournament bye, while the Bulldogs may be playing on day one. Below is my college basketball betting pick for Mississippi State vs Auburn.
Mississippi State vs Auburn Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Auburn -7 |
| ? Recommended Sportsbook Promo: | First Bet on Caesars up to $1,250 |
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This game will be played at Alaska Airlines Arena at 11:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 12, 2023.
Why Bet Auburn -7
✅ Washington is 13-5 straight up in their last 18 home games against Stanford.
✅ The Cardinal are 1-4 straight up in their last five games.
✅ Stanford is 1-7 straight up in their last right road games.
NCAABB
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Auburn Tigers
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| MSPST | Advanced Game Stats | AUBRN |
|---|---|---|
| 73.4 | Pace | 65.1 |
| 125.4 | Off.Rate | 86.0 |
| .261 | FTr | .271 |
| .432 | 3PAr | .322 |
| .617 | TS% | .420 |
| 50.9 | TRB% | 45.3 |
| 57.1 | AST% | 30.5 |
| 18.6 | STL% | 8.2 |
| 14.5 | BLK% | 6.7 |
| .606 | eFG% | .376 |
| 11.5 | TOV% | 14.5 |
| 31.4 | ORB% | 29.8 |
| .176 | TF/FGA | .198 |
Defense/Offense
| MSPST | Advanced Game Stats | AUBRN |
|---|---|---|
| 73.4 | Pace | 65.1 |
| 84.1 | Off.Rate | 126.5 |
| .360 | FTr | .302 |
| .360 | 3PAr | .477 |
| .459 | TS% | .628 |
| 49.1 | TRB% | 54.7 |
| 51.6 | AST% | 57.1 |
| 5.9 | STL% | 9.7 |
| 6.2 | BLK% | 16.7 |
| .413 | eFG% | .613 |
| 21.8 | TOV% | 12.1 |
| 31.6 | ORB% | 33.3 |
| .250 | TF/FGA | .209 |
Betting Trends
| MSPST | Betting Trends | AUBRN |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 55.67 | Avg Score | 72.67 |
| 66.33 | Avg Opp Score | 69.33 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 57.33 | Avg Score | 68.33 |
| 65.33 | Avg Opp Score | 60.33 |
| MSPST | Betting Trends | AUBRN |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 57.2 | Avg Score | 72.6 |
| 67 | Avg Opp Score | 65.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 1-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 57.6 | Avg Score | 72.6 |
| 65.6 | Avg Opp Score | 61.4 |
| MSPST | Betting Trends | AUBRN |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 2-8-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 64.8 | Avg Score | 73.7 |
| 61.7 | Avg Opp Score | 67.3 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 3-6-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 61.4 | Avg Score | 72.2 |
| 64.8 | Avg Opp Score | 61.8 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Mississippi State Bulldogs
Last time out, Mississippi State visited the Georgia Bulldogs and left with a disappointing 58-550 defeat. This was a fun game to watch as the final 20 minutes was straight back-and-forth basketball with many tense moments. Ultimately, Mississippi State lost and are seeing their bubble get ever closer to bursting. Mississippi State led by as many as four points, trailed by as much as eight, and lost outright as two-point road favorites.
Shakeel Moore came off the bench and had 15 points, three rebounds, two assists, and four steals on the night. D.J. Jeffries added 10 points, seven rebounds, two assists, one steal, and two blocks in the loss.
Through 16 games, Mississippi State is scoring 65.8 points per game, shooting 41.1% from the field, and assisting on 14.9 made shots. The Bulldogs are allowing 56.8 points, grabbing 38.9 rebounds, blocking 6.3 shots, and stealing the ball 8.4 times.
Auburn Tigers
Auburn visited the Ole Miss Rebels and left with a comfortable 82-73 win. It was a tight first half that saw Ole Miss leading by one at the half, but the Tigers come out firing after the break and quickly took control of the game. Auburn trailed by as many as seven points, led by as many 14, and covered the -1.5-point spread.
Wendell Green Jr. had 23 points, five rebounds, seven assists, and three steals on the night. Johni Broome added 19 points, 11 rebounds, three assists, one steal, and one block in the victory.
After 16 games, Auburn is scoring 72.7 points per game, shooting 43.8% from the field, and assisting on 14.5 made shots. The Tigers are allowing 63.2 points, grabbing 38.9 rebounds, blocking 6.3 shots, and stealing the ball 8.4 times.
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