A SEC showdown is set for Wednesday night when the Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-7, 1-6 in SEC) visit the Alabama Crimson Tide (17-2, 7-0). Mississippi State has not enjoyed their time in conference play and a trip to, arguably, the best team in the nation is not going to make them feel better. Below is my college basketball betting pick for Mississippi State vs Alabama.
Mississippi State vs Alabama Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Alabama -11.5 |
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This game will be played at Coleman Coliseum at 9:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 25, 2023.
Why Bet Alabama -11.5
✅ Alabama is 7-0 against the spread in their last seven games.
✅ The Crimson Tide are 9-0 in their last nine home games.
✅ Mississippi State is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games played.
NCAABB
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| MSPST | Advanced Game Stats | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7 | Pace | 75.1 |
| 120.7 | Off.Rate | 103.9 |
| .328 | FTr | .328 |
| .408 | 3PAr | .364 |
| .563 | TS% | .507 |
| 53.5 | TRB% | 45.5 |
| 58.0 | AST% | 41.5 |
| 14.2 | STL% | 9.2 |
| 12.1 | BLK% | 10.2 |
| .538 | eFG% | .468 |
| 10.7 | TOV% | 12.0 |
| 35.8 | ORB% | 28.8 |
| .225 | TF/FGA | .236 |
Defense/Offense
| MSPST | Advanced Game Stats | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7 | Pace | 75.1 |
| 97.2 | Off.Rate | 117.6 |
| .350 | FTr | .421 |
| .405 | 3PAr | .481 |
| .522 | TS% | .584 |
| 46.5 | TRB% | 54.5 |
| 55.1 | AST% | 56.5 |
| 7.2 | STL% | 7.8 |
| 7.6 | BLK% | 10.2 |
| .492 | eFG% | .549 |
| 18.1 | TOV% | 14.4 |
| 27.7 | ORB% | 35.7 |
| .234 | TF/FGA | .305 |
Betting Trends
| MSPST | Betting Trends | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 60.33 | Avg Score | 89.67 |
| 66.67 | Avg Opp Score | 65.33 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 55.33 | Avg Score | 89.33 |
| 71.33 | Avg Opp Score | 60 |
| MSPST | Betting Trends | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-0-0 |
| 59 | Avg Score | 86.2 |
| 62.4 | Avg Opp Score | 63.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 2-2-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 58.4 | Avg Score | 88.6 |
| 65 | Avg Opp Score | 66.4 |
| MSPST | Betting Trends | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 2-8-0 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
| 60.4 | Avg Score | 85.8 |
| 66 | Avg Opp Score | 69.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 3-6-1 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 60.2 | Avg Score | 89 |
| 63.7 | Avg Opp Score | 70.1 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Mississippi State Bulldogs
Last time out, Mississippi State hosted the Florida Gators and suffered a tough 61-59 defeat. The Gators were in control most of the game, but the Bulldogs had two big second half runs to make things uncomfortable. Ultimately, the Gators played good defense when needed and earned the tough road win. Mississippi State trailed by as many as 16 points, never led by more than two, and lost outright as two-point home favorites.
Tolu Smith had 12 points, 11 rebounds, and one assist on the day. Cameron Matthews added eight points, 11 rebounds, two assists, and one steal in the loss.
Through 19 games, Mississippi State is scoring 64.9 points per game, shooting 40.4% from the field, and assisting on 13.9 made shots. The Bulldogs are allowing 58.3 points, grabbing 38.4 rebounds, blocking 3.6 shots, and stealing the ball 9.58 times.
Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama visited the Missouri Tigers and dominated in an 85-64 victory. This was a back-and-forth game for the first 16 minutes of the game, but the Crimson Tide went on a big run and went into the half leading by 10 points. That momentum carried into the second half as Alabama won the final 20 minutes by 11 and continued their red-hot form. Alabama led by as many as 21 points, did not trail by more than three, and covered the -6.0-point spread.
Noah Clowney had 17 points, 14 rebounds, one assist, and one steal in the game. Mark Sears added 17 points, eight rebounds three assists, and three blocks in the win.
After 19 games, Alabama is scoring 84.1 points per game, shooting 44.1% from the field, and assisting on 14.7 made shots. The Crimson Tide are allowing 69.0 points, grabbing 46.4 rebounds, blocking 5.4 shots, and stealing the ball 6.0 times.
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