An important Big Ten game is set for Thursday night when the Michigan Wolverines (11-10, 5-5 in Big Ten) visit the Northwestern Wildcats (15-6, 6-4). Michigan needs this win as they are on the wrong side of the bubble right now, but Northwestern, currently third in the Big Ten, cannot afford to lose this one. Below is my college basketball best bet for Michigan vs Northwestern.
Michigan vs Northwestern Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Northwestern -3.5 |
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This game will be played at Welsh-Ryan Arena at 7:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 2, 2023.
Why Bet Northwestern -3.5
✅ Northwestern is 10-4 straight up in their last 14 games played.
✅ The Wildcats are 12-3 straight up in their last 15 home games.
✅ Michigan is 1-5-1 against the spread in their last seven games.
NCAABB
Michigan Wolverines
Northwestern Wildcats
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| MICH | Advanced Game Stats | NW |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3 | Pace | 66.4 |
| 113.7 | Off.Rate | 94.5 |
| .340 | FTr | .301 |
| .423 | 3PAr | .390 |
| .595 | TS% | .508 |
| 53.5 | TRB% | 47.9 |
| 57.0 | AST% | 64.7 |
| 9.4 | STL% | 6.6 |
| 12.5 | BLK% | 7.7 |
| .572 | eFG% | .479 |
| 17.9 | TOV% | 17.8 |
| 37.1 | ORB% | 24.9 |
| .237 | TF/FGA | .204 |
Defense/Offense
| MICH | Advanced Game Stats | NW |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3 | Pace | 66.4 |
| 94.9 | Off.Rate | 107.2 |
| .274 | FTr | .343 |
| .361 | 3PAr | .303 |
| .487 | TS% | .525 |
| 46.5 | TRB% | 52.1 |
| 37.6 | AST% | 55.4 |
| 10.5 | STL% | 11.4 |
| 6.2 | BLK% | 9.4 |
| .451 | eFG% | .487 |
| 17.5 | TOV% | 11.8 |
| 32.8 | ORB% | 30.4 |
| .198 | TF/FGA | .247 |
Betting Trends
| MICH | Betting Trends | NW |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 0-2-1 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 63.67 | Avg Score | 76.33 |
| 71.33 | Avg Opp Score | 70 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 67.67 | Avg Score | 69.67 |
| 80 | Avg Opp Score | 63 |
| MICH | Betting Trends | NW |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 1-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 66.8 | Avg Score | 74.6 |
| 71.2 | Avg Opp Score | 71.6 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 0-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 66.4 | Avg Score | 67.8 |
| 75.8 | Avg Opp Score | 64.4 |
| MICH | Betting Trends | NW |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 3-6-1 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 69.2 | Avg Score | 71.2 |
| 68.6 | Avg Opp Score | 69.7 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 73.2 | Avg Score | 69.6 |
| 75.7 | Avg Opp Score | 61.7 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Michigan Wolverines
Last time out, Michigan visited the Penn State Nittany Lions and were dominated in an 83-61 defeat. It was a one-point game with just over four minutes left in the first half, but the Nittany Lions went on a big run and led by 17 points at the half. That momentum carried over to the second half and the Wolverines could never get back into the game. Michigan trailed by as many as 32 points, never led by more than two, and could not cover the +4.0-point spread.
Jett Howard had 21 points and one assist on the day. Kobe Bufkin added eight points, six rebounds, two assists, two steals, and one block in the loss.
Through 21 games, Michigan is scoring 73.4 points per game, shooting 44.6% from the field, and assisting on 12.7 made shots. The Wolverines are allowing 70.4 points, grabbing 36.0 rebounds, blocking 4.5 shots, and stealing the ball 5.1 times.
Northwestern Wildcats
Northwestern took a trip to Iowa and left with an 86-70 defeat. This was a close game for the first 30 minutes, with the Wildcats leading by one late, but the Hawkeyes went on a big run to end the game. Trailing by one with 10:32 remaining, Iowa scored 31 of the final 45 points to get the double-digit win. Northwestern trailed by as many as 16 points, led by nine, and could not cover the +6.5-point spread.
Boo Buie had 20 points, three rebounds, three assists, and three steals in the game. Chase Audige added 15 points, two rebounds, two assists, and two steals in the defeat.
After 21 games, Northwestern is scoring 69.9 points per game, shooting 40.6% from the field, and assisting on 13.5 made shots. The Wildcats are allowing 62.2 points, grabbing 36.1 rebounds, blocking 4.5 shots, and stealing the ball 8.2 times.
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