An important Big Ten game is set for Saturday afternoon when the Michigan Wolverines (11-9, 5-4 in Big Ten) visit the Penn State Nittany Lions (13-7, 4-5). Both teams are firmly on the NCAA Tournament bubble and a win against a fellow bubble team could go a long way. Below is my college basketball pick for Michigan vs Penn State.
Michigan vs Penn State Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Penn State -3 |
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This game will be played at Bryce Jordan Center at 12:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 29, 2023.
Why Bet Penn State -3
✅ Penn State is 6-0 straight up in their last six home games.
✅ The Nittany Lions are 10-4 against the spread in their last 14 Big Ten games.
✅ Michigan is 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games played.
NCAABB
Michigan Wolverines
Penn State Nittany Lions
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| MICH | Advanced Game Stats | PENNST |
|---|---|---|
| 72.0 | Pace | 77.0 |
| 114.3 | Off.Rate | 79.9 |
| .361 | FTr | .320 |
| .452 | 3PAr | .409 |
| .635 | TS% | .475 |
| 53.2 | TRB% | 46.2 |
| 58.4 | AST% | 58.8 |
| 11.1 | STL% | 8.1 |
| 10.6 | BLK% | 5.1 |
| .623 | eFG% | .442 |
| 21.4 | TOV% | 24.9 |
| 38.1 | ORB% | 26.3 |
| .241 | TF/FGA | .209 |
Defense/Offense
| MICH | Advanced Game Stats | PENNST |
|---|---|---|
| 72.0 | Pace | 77.0 |
| 87.5 | Off.Rate | 126.3 |
| .274 | FTr | .427 |
| .305 | 3PAr | .396 |
| .440 | TS% | .622 |
| 46.8 | TRB% | 53.8 |
| 34.8 | AST% | 54.5 |
| 14.3 | STL% | 19.8 |
| 9.9 | BLK% | 15.8 |
| .397 | eFG% | .592 |
| 17.6 | TOV% | 12.1 |
| 36.4 | ORB% | 32.1 |
| .200 | TF/FGA | .312 |
Betting Trends
| MICH | Betting Trends | PENNST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 0-2-1 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 62.67 | Avg Score | 60.33 |
| 65 | Avg Opp Score | 64.33 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 65 | Avg Score | 74.67 |
| 72 | Avg Opp Score | 69 |
| MICH | Betting Trends | PENNST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
| 1-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 71.4 | Avg Score | 65.8 |
| 73.2 | Avg Opp Score | 67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 72.2 | Avg Score | 73.4 |
| 74.2 | Avg Opp Score | 66.4 |
| MICH | Betting Trends | PENNST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 4-5-1 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 70.7 | Avg Score | 71.5 |
| 68.3 | Avg Opp Score | 67.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 72.6 | Avg Score | 74.2 |
| 73.7 | Avg Opp Score | 65.9 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Michigan Wolverines
Last time out, Michigan hosted the top-ranked Purdue Boilermakers and suffered a tough 75-70 defeat. This game was tied with under eight minutes to go in the first half, but the Boilermakers took the lead and never gave it back. The Wolverines trailed by six points at the half and were behind by a big margin most of the second half. Michigan trailed by as many as 13 points, never led by more than six, and pushed on the +5.0-point spread.
Hunter Dickinson had 21 points, seven rebounds, four assists, and one block on the night. Kobe Bufkin added 16 points, four rebounds, two assists, and one steal in the loss.
Through 20 games, Michigan is scoring 74.1 points per game, shooting 44.7% from the field, and assisting on 12.6 made shots. The Wolverines are allowing 69.8 points, grabbing 36.5 rebounds, blocking 4.6 shots, and stealing the ball 5.2 times.
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State visited the Rutgers Scarlet Knights and were soundly beaten 65-45. The Scarlet Knights took control of this game early as they jumped to a quick lead and never looked back. Trailing by eight points at the half, the Nittany Lions continued to struggle in the second half and were blown out. Penn State trailed by as many as 20 points, never led by more than three, and could not cover the +6.5-point spread.
Jalen Pickett had 15 points, eight rebounds, two assists, and one steal in the game. Andrew Funk added 12 points, four rebounds, two assists, and one steal in the loss.
After 20 games, Penn State is scoring 73.1 points per game, shooting 46.0% from the field, and assisting on 14.4 made shots. The Nittany Lions are allowing 66.9 points, grabbing 33.2 rebounds, blocking 2.4 shots, and stealing the ball 5.1 times.
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