Maryland Terrapins vs Florida Gators Pick – 3/27/2025

The Maryland Terrapins and the Florida Gators are set to face off in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday, March 27, 2025, at 7:39 p.m. ET at the Chase Center in San Francisco. This highly anticipated game features two teams with impressive seasons and aspirations for a deep tournament run.

Maryland Terrapins vs. Florida Gators Game Preview

Maryland enters the Sweet 16 with a 27-8 record, having secured victories over Grand Canyon (81-49) and Colorado State (72-71) in the tournament's opening rounds. The Terrapins' thrilling win against Colorado State was highlighted by freshman center Derik Queen's buzzer-beating jumper, underscoring their resilience and clutch performance.

Key players for Maryland include:

• Derik Queen: Averaging 16.2 points and 9.1 rebounds per game.
• Ja’Kobi Gillespie: Contributing 14.6 points and 5.0 assists per game.
• Rodney Rice: Adding 13.9 points per game.
• Julian Reese: Providing 13.3 points and 9.1 rebounds per game.

According to KenPom, Maryland ranks 10th nationally, with the 22nd-best offensive efficiency and 6th-best defensive efficiency. They average 81.7 points per game on 47.2% shooting, while allowing 67.0 points per game on 41.5% shooting.

Florida boasts a 32-4 record, with recent tournament wins over Norfolk State (95-69) and defending champion UConn (77-75). The Gators' narrow victory against UConn showcased their ability to perform under pressure, with senior guard Walter Clayton Jr. scoring 13 of his 23 points in the final eight minutes.

Key players for Florida include:

• Walter Clayton Jr.: Leading the team with 17.9 points and 4.2 assists per game.
• Alijah Martin: Contributing 14.6 points and 4.5 rebounds per game.
• Will Richard: Adding 13.5 points and 4.5 rebounds per game.
• Alex Condon: Providing 11.1 points and 7.8 rebounds per game.

KenPom ranks Florida 3rd nationally, with the 2nd-best offensive efficiency and 11th-best defensive efficiency. The Gators average 85.4 points per game on 47.3% shooting, while allowing 69.3 points per game on 39.8% shooting.

Betting Insights

As of March 27, 2025, the betting odds for this Sweet 16 matchup are as follows:

• Point Spread: Florida favored by 6 points.
• Moneyline: Florida -270, Maryland +225.
• Over/Under: 157 points.

Florida has been a strong performer against the spread (ATS), with a 26-10 record this season. Maryland holds a 19-16 ATS record. Notably, the total has gone under in six of Maryland's last eight games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests.

Maryland Terrapins vs. Florida Gators Prediction

Both teams have demonstrated offensive prowess, but Florida's depth and experience provide a significant advantage. The Gators' ability to perform under pressure, as evidenced by their recent win over UConn, highlights their resilience. Additionally, Florida's strong defensive metrics, including ranking 9th in average opponent near-proximity shooting percentage, suggest they can effectively limit Maryland's scoring opportunities.

Considering these factors, the prediction for this game is a Florida victory, covering the 6-point spread. The final score is projected to be Florida 80, Maryland 70. Bettors might also consider the under on the total points, given Maryland's recent trend toward lower-scoring games.

As always, while these insights are based on current data and trends, the unpredictable nature of the NCAA Tournament means surprises can occur. Bettors should consider all factors and make informed decisions.