A SEC showdown is set for Saturday afternoon when the LSU Tigers (12-4, 1-3 in SEC) visit the #4 Alabama Clemson Tide (14-2, 4-0). LSU had a strong non-conference portion but have struggled since getting into conference play. Alabama looks like a true national title contender. Below is my college basketball prediction for LSU vs Alabama.
LSU vs Alabama Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Alabama -15 |
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This game will be played at Coleman Coliseum at 4:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 14, 2023.
Why Bet Alabama -15
✅ Alabama is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games played.
✅ The Crimson Tide are 8-0 straight up in their last eight home games.
✅ LSU is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.
NCAABB
LSU Tigers
Alabama Crimson Tide
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| LSU | Advanced Game Stats | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4 | Pace | 75.1 |
| 112.3 | Off.Rate | 103.9 |
| .361 | FTr | .328 |
| .413 | 3PAr | .364 |
| .572 | TS% | .507 |
| 52.9 | TRB% | 45.5 |
| 49.8 | AST% | 41.5 |
| 11.0 | STL% | 9.2 |
| 12.9 | BLK% | 10.2 |
| .534 | eFG% | .468 |
| 16.3 | TOV% | 12.0 |
| 36.1 | ORB% | 28.8 |
| .271 | TF/FGA | .236 |
Defense/Offense
| LSU | Advanced Game Stats | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4 | Pace | 75.1 |
| 94.4 | Off.Rate | 117.6 |
| .278 | FTr | .421 |
| .350 | 3PAr | .481 |
| .466 | TS% | .584 |
| 47.1 | TRB% | 54.5 |
| 43.4 | AST% | 56.5 |
| 11.0 | STL% | 7.8 |
| 9.9 | BLK% | 10.2 |
| .432 | eFG% | .549 |
| 15.3 | TOV% | 14.4 |
| 33.6 | ORB% | 35.7 |
| .191 | TF/FGA | .305 |
Betting Trends
| LSU | Betting Trends | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 61 | Avg Score | 82 |
| 70 | Avg Opp Score | 61 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 66.33 | Avg Score | 82 |
| 71 | Avg Opp Score | 59.33 |
| LSU | Betting Trends | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
| 63 | Avg Score | 81.6 |
| 67 | Avg Opp Score | 62.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 66.2 | Avg Score | 83 |
| 66.4 | Avg Opp Score | 66.2 |
| LSU | Betting Trends | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 3-7-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 68.4 | Avg Score | 84.1 |
| 67.7 | Avg Opp Score | 73.3 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 69.1 | Avg Score | 85.9 |
| 70.4 | Avg Opp Score | 68.9 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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LSU Tigers
Last time out, LSU hosted the Florida Gators and suffered a poor 67-56 defeat. The Tigers were the better team in the first half, leading by three at the half, but it was all Gators after that. Florida quickly took the lead and they never looked back as they earned the double-digit road win. LSU led by as many as eight points, trailed by as much 11, and could not cover the +2.5-point spread.
KJ Williams had 23 points and seven rebounds in the loss. Trae Hannibal added four points, 12 rebounds, three assists, and two steals on the night.
Through 16 games, LSU is scoring 69.9 points per game, shooting 44.5% from the field, and assisting on 13.6 made shots. The Tigers are allowing 64.6 points, grabbing 34.4 rebounds, blocking 2.8 shots, and stealing the ball 5.7 times.
Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama visited the #15 Arkansas Razorbacks and earned an impressive 84-69 win. The Crimson Tide were in control throughout this game, but they used a very late, big, run to get the 15-point win. Alabama never trailed by more than three points, led by as many as 15, and won outright as one-point road underdogs.
Mark Sears had 26 points, four rebounds, three assists, and three steals on the night. Noah Clowney added 15 points, five rebounds, two assists, one steal, and one block in the victory.
After 16 games, Alabama is scoring 83.0 points per game, shooting 44.5% from the field, and assisting on 14.9 made shots. The Crimson Tide are allowing 69.7 points, grabbing 45.6 rebounds, blocking 5.6 shots, and stealing the ball 6.2 times.
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