The best rivalry in college basketball is renewed when the Duke Blue Devils (22-8, 13-6 in ACC) visit the North Carolina Tar Heels (19-11, 11-8). Jerry Palm has Duke as the sixth seed in the South region and North Carolina as the third team out of the bracket. Below is my college basketball pick for Duke vs North Carolina.
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Duke vs North Carolina Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | North Carolina -2.5 |
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This game will be played at Dean E. Smith Center at 6:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 4, 2023.
Why Bet North Carolina -2.5
✅ North Carolina is 14-2 in their las t16 home games.
✅ The Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against the Blue Devils.
✅ Duke is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against North Carolina.
NCAABB
Duke Blue Devils
North Carolina Tar Heels
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| DUKE | Advanced Game Stats | NCAR |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2 | Pace | 75.3 |
| 117.4 | Off.Rate | 104.2 |
| .297 | FTr | .288 |
| .479 | 3PAr | .409 |
| .576 | TS% | .533 |
| 54.8 | TRB% | 48.8 |
| 58.1 | AST% | 50.3 |
| 12.4 | STL% | 7.5 |
| 10.3 | BLK% | 8.0 |
| .549 | eFG% | .500 |
| 13.2 | TOV% | 14.2 |
| 34.4 | ORB% | 28.0 |
| .218 | TF/FGA | .211 |
Defense/Offense
| DUKE | Advanced Game Stats | NCAR |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2 | Pace | 75.3 |
| 87.0 | Off.Rate | 112.6 |
| .244 | FTr | .398 |
| .395 | 3PAr | .378 |
| .455 | TS% | .568 |
| 45.2 | TRB% | 51.2 |
| 55.3 | AST% | 46.9 |
| 9.8 | STL% | 9.9 |
| 8.5 | BLK% | 9.7 |
| .412 | eFG% | .528 |
| 17.3 | TOV% | 13.1 |
| 27.0 | ORB% | 28.7 |
| .191 | TF/FGA | .296 |
Betting Trends
| DUKE | Betting Trends | NCAR |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 77 | Avg Score | 70.33 |
| 64.67 | Avg Opp Score | 62.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 66 | Avg Score | 78 |
| 68.33 | Avg Opp Score | 71.33 |
| DUKE | Betting Trends | NCAR |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 5-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 75.2 | Avg Score | 70.4 |
| 62.6 | Avg Opp Score | 69 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 71.8 | Avg Score | 75.6 |
| 65.2 | Avg Opp Score | 69.6 |
| DUKE | Betting Trends | NCAR |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
| 4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
| 72.1 | Avg Score | 72.1 |
| 63.6 | Avg Opp Score | 70.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 3-7-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 69.2 | Avg Score | 79.9 |
| 68.9 | Avg Opp Score | 69.8 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
Duke Blue Devils
Last time out, Duke hosted the NC State Wolfpack and held on for a 71-67 victory. This game was tied 12 minutes into the game, but the Blue Devils took control from there and never trailed again. The Wolfpack kept things close, but they were never threatening to win the game. Duke led by as many as 12 points, trailed by three, and could not cover the -6.5-point spread.
Jeremy Roach had 20 points, one rebound, two assists, and one steal on the night. Kyle Filipowski added 11 points, 14 rebounds, one assist, and one steal in the win.
Through 30 games, Duke is scoring 72.1 points per game, shooting 44.6% from the field, and assisting on 14.8 made shots. The Blue Devils are allowing 64.0 points, grabbing 39.3 rebounds, blocking 4.7 shots, and stealing the ball 5.6 times.
North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina visited the Florida State Seminoles and left with a comfortable 77-66 win. The Tar Heel grabbed the lead from the start and they never gave up the lead as this was as routine as it gets for the visitors. North Carolina led by as many as 18 points, never trailed in the game, and covered the -7.5-point spread.
Pete Nance had 15 points, 10 rebounds, two assists, one steal, and one block in the game. Leaky Black added 18 points, nine rebounds, three assists, and one block in the victory.
After 30 games, North Carolina is scoring 77.1 points per game, shooting 43.6% from the field, and assisting on 12.1 made shots. The Tar Heels are allowing 71.6 points, grabbing 39.9 rebounds, blocking 3.8 shots, and stealing the ball 5.4 times.
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