Air Force vs UNLV College Basketball ATS Pick 2/24/23

Vincent Senick on February 25th, 2023

Two struggling Mountain West Conference teams will do battle when the Air Force Falcons (14-15, 5-11 in MWC) visit the UNLV Rebels (16-11, 5-10) Friday night. Neither team is going to the NCAA Tournament this season, but UNLV should find themselves in the NIT. Below is my ATS pick for Air Force vs UNLV.

Air Force vs UNLV Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick:	UNLV -9.5
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This game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center at 9:30 p.m. on Friday, February 24, 2023.

Why Bet UNLV -9.5

✅ UNLV is 12-0 in their last 12 home games against the Falcons.

✅ The Falcons are 2-8 in their last 10 games played.

✅ Air Force is 5-15 in their last 20 road games.

NCAABB

Feb 24, 2023 09:30 PM

Air Force Falcons

UNLV Rebels

Spread Pick Consensus

N/A AIRF

UNLV N/A

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+324

-431

N/A AIRF

UNLV N/A

Total Pick Consensus

139.0/

N/A UN

OV N/A

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

AIRF	Team Stats Per Game	UNLV
63.75	PTS GM	71.75
48.25	FGA	55
.430	FG%	.455
.314	3PT%	.369
7	ORB	9
5.69	DRB	5.94
29.75	TRB	32.75
20.75	FTA	18.5
.687	FT%	.757
16	AST	15.5
4	BLK	2.5
11.25	TO	15
17.25	PF	19.25

Defense/Offense

AIRF	Team Stats Per Game	UNLV
70.5	PTS GM	81.75
55.75	FGA	56.5
.430	FG%	.478
.408	3PT%	.391
11.25	ORB	9.25
6.12	DRB	5.88
35.75	TRB	32.75
17.75	FTA	24.5
.704	FT%	.786
12.75	AST	15.5
1.75	BLK	3.25
9.5	TO	10.5
22	PF	17

Advanced Game Stats

Offense/Defense

AIRF	Advanced Game Stats	UNLV
62.4	Pace	69.6
102.2	Off.Rate	103.1
.430	FTr	.336
.528	3PAr	.382
.549	TS%	.562
45.4	TRB%	50.0
77.1	AST%	62.0
7.2	STL%	6.8
12.8	BLK%	7.2
.513	eFG%	.525
16.2	TOV%	19.0
22.2	ORB%	27.7
.295	TF/FGA	.255

Defense/Offense

AIRF	Advanced Game Stats	UNLV
62.4	Pace	69.6
113.0	Off.Rate	117.5
.318	FTr	.434
.439	3PAr	.385
.549	TS%	.600
54.6	TRB%	50.0
53.1	AST%	57.4
6.4	STL%	14.4
7.7	BLK%	9.6
.520	eFG%	.553
12.9	TOV%	13.4
33.1	ORB%	28.0
.224	TF/FGA	.341

Betting Trends

AIRF	Betting Trends	UNLV
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	0-3-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
69.67	Avg Score	68.67
74.33	Avg Opp Score	76.67
AWAY		HOME
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
64	Avg Score	71
73.67	Avg Opp Score	73

AIRF	Betting Trends	UNLV
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-4-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
70.2	Avg Score	70.8
73.8	Avg Opp Score	74.2
AWAY		HOME
1-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
63.4	Avg Score	76
76.8	Avg Opp Score	74.6

AIRF	Betting Trends	UNLV
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-8-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-6-0
4-6-0	ATS W/L/P	6-4-0
64	Avg Score	72.5
73.3	Avg Opp Score	72.7
AWAY		HOME
4-6-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-6-0
6-3-1	ATS W/L/P	4-6-0
63.9	Avg Score	73.7
71	Avg Opp Score	73.3

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
02/08/2022	AIRF UNLV	126.0 -10.5	+418 -596	44 78
01/20/2022	UNLV AIRF	126.5 5.5	-248 +201	62 69
03/10/2021	AIRF UNLV	127.0 -11.5	+541 -803	52 80
02/08/2021	AIRF UNLV	130.5 -14.0	+693 -1218	64 69
02/06/2021	AIRF UNLV	131.5 -14.0	+825 -1576	58 68
01/04/2020	AIRF UNLV	143.5 -5.5	+195 -238	59 71
02/12/2019	AIRF UNLV	144.0 -9.5	+375 -475	72 77
01/16/2019	UNLV AIRF	138.0 4.0	-200 +170	88 106
03/07/2018	AIRF UNLV	146.0 -9.0	+375 -550	90 97
02/14/2018	AIRF UNLV	156.0 -13.0	+600 -1000	73 81

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/13/24	AIRF NMX	124.6 -12.5	+724 -1413	48 71
03/09/24	COLST AIRF	52.9 1.8	-276 +190	33 29
03/05/24	AIRF WYOM	203.5 -9.7	+344 -440	94 111
03/01/24	AIRF UTAHST	223.3 -28.5	+1951 -5488	98 117
02/27/24	BOISE AIRF	91.5 5.4	-494 +342	54 33
02/24/24	AIRF NMX	221.7 -28.4	+2014 -9055	120 118
02/21/24	UNLV AIRF	81.0 2.5	-180 +144	44 26
02/13/24	AIRF SJST	129.1 -3.4	+127 -154	63 70
02/10/24	FREST AIRF	40.9 -0.6	+34 -42	21 21
02/06/24	SDST AIRF	35.5 0.7	-138 +102	20 17

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/27/24	UNLV SETON	127.9 -5.3	+186 -246	60 81
03/24/24	BOSCOL UNLV	249.1 -6.1	+247 -304	122 137
03/20/24	UNLV PRNCE	224.1 -5.6	+235 -290	134 123
03/09/24	UNLV NEVADA	54.5 -2.4	+84 -105	26 30
03/05/24	SDST UNLV	202.7 5.6	-232 +190	87 93
03/02/24	SJST UNLV	126.6 -12.3	+679 -1171	46 62
02/24/24	COLST UNLV	211.7 -1.5	-164 -175	92 101
02/21/24	UNLV AIRF	81.0 2.5	-180 +144	44 26
02/17/24	NEVADA UNLV	152.8 -1.6	+115 -139	76 72
02/14/24	UNLV FREST	61.8 0.9	-95 +77	30 29

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Air Force Falcons

Last time out, Air Force hosted the Fresno State Bulldogs and suffered a tough 74-69 defeat. The Bulldogs started this game strong, but the Falcons put up a fight and grabbed a one-point lead at the half. After the break, Air Force led early, but the Bulldogs grabbed the lead with just over 15 minutes left and never looked back. Air Force trailed by as many as 13 points, led by seven, and lost outright as two-point favorites.

Jake Heidbreder had 17 points, five rebounds, and seven assists on the night. Rytis Petraitis added 10 points, four rebounds, six assists, one steal, and two blocks in the loss.

Through 29 games, Air Force is scoring 67.5 points per game, shooting 47.0% from the field, and assisting on 15.6 made shots. The Falcons are allowing 67.3 points, grabbing 29.0 rebounds, blocking 4.1 shots, and stealing the ball 5.7 times.

UNLV Rebels

UNLV visited the Boise State Broncos and left with a 73-69 loss. The Rebels started the game well, but the Broncos quickly rebounded and built a six-point halftime advantage. After the break, Boise State was able to keep the Rebels at arm’s length and never looked like they were going to lose this one. UNLV led by as many as seven points, trailed by seven, and covered the +7.5-point spread.

EJ Harless had 14 points, five rebounds, two assists, and two steals in the game. Shane Nowell added 14 points, two rebounds, and one steal in the defeat.

After 27 games, UNLV is scoring 75.3 points per game, shooting 44.0% from the field, and assisting on 13.1 made shots. The Rebels are allowing 69.4 points, grabbing 33.0 rebounds, blocking 3.7 shots, and stealing the ball 9.3 times.