Air Force vs UNLV MWC First Round Pick & Prediction 3/8/23

Vincent Senick on March 7th, 2023

The Mountain West Conference Tournament first round continues Wednesday afternoon when the Air Force Falcons (14-17, 5-13 in MWC) visit the UNLV Rebels (18-12, 7-11). Neither of these teams will go dancing without winning the conference tournament. Below is my college basketball prediction for Air Force vs UNLV.

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Air Force vs UNLV Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick:	UNLV -8
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This game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center at 4:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 8, 2023.

Why Bet UNLV -8

✅ UNLV is 7-1 in their last eight games against the Falcons.

✅ Air Force is 2-10 in their last 12 games overall.

✅ The Falcons are 1-5 in their last six games away from home.

NCAABB

Mar 08, 2023 04:30 PM

Air Force Falcons

UNLV Rebels

Spread Pick Consensus

N/A AIRF

UNLV N/A

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+200

-252

N/A AIRF

UNLV N/A

Total Pick Consensus

134.0/

134.0/

N/A UN

OV N/A

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

AIRF	Team Stats Per Game	UNLV
63.75	PTS GM	76
48.25	FGA	57
.430	FG%	.462
.314	3PT%	.373
7	ORB	9.33
5.69	DRB	8.22
29.75	TRB	34
20.75	FTA	20
.687	FT%	.750
16	AST	16
4	BLK	2.67
11.25	TO	14.67
17.25	PF	20.67

Defense/Offense

AIRF	Team Stats Per Game	UNLV
70.5	PTS GM	82.33
55.75	FGA	57.67
.430	FG%	.474
.408	3PT%	.349
11.25	ORB	10
6.12	DRB	8
35.75	TRB	34
17.75	FTA	26.33
.704	FT%	.772
12.75	AST	14.67
1.75	BLK	3.33
9.5	TO	10.67
22	PF	17.67

Advanced Game Stats

Offense/Defense

AIRF	Advanced Game Stats	UNLV
62.4	Pace	71.3
102.2	Off.Rate	106.5
.430	FTr	.351
.528	3PAr	.392
.549	TS%	.571
45.4	TRB%	50.0
77.1	AST%	60.8
7.2	STL%	6.1
12.8	BLK%	7.3
.513	eFG%	.535
16.2	TOV%	18.1
22.2	ORB%	28.0
.295	TF/FGA	.263

Defense/Offense

AIRF	Advanced Game Stats	UNLV
62.4	Pace	71.3
113.0	Off.Rate	115.4
.318	FTr	.457
.439	3PAr	.364
.549	TS%	.587
54.6	TRB%	50.0
53.1	AST%	53.7
6.4	STL%	12.1
7.7	BLK%	9.6
.520	eFG%	.538
12.9	TOV%	13.2
33.1	ORB%	28.8
.224	TF/FGA	.353

Betting Trends

AIRF	Betting Trends	UNLV
OVERALL		OVERALL
0-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
61	Avg Score	63
63.67	Avg Opp Score	70.33
AWAY		HOME
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	0-3-0
64.33	Avg Score	62
67.67	Avg Opp Score	73

AIRF	Betting Trends	UNLV
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
64.6	Avg Score	64.8
68	Avg Opp Score	71.8
AWAY		HOME
1-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
63.6	Avg Score	66.6
71.2	Avg Opp Score	72.6

AIRF	Betting Trends	UNLV
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-8-0	Win/Loss/Tie	5-5-0
5-5-0	ATS W/L/P	5-5-0
64.2	Avg Score	69.4
69.8	Avg Opp Score	71.5
AWAY		HOME
4-6-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-6-0
7-3-0	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
62.8	Avg Score	70.7
69.6	Avg Opp Score	74

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
02/24/2023	AIRF UNLV	139.0 -8.5	+324 -431	53 54
02/08/2022	AIRF UNLV	126.0 -10.5	+418 -596	44 78
01/20/2022	UNLV AIRF	126.5 5.5	-248 +201	62 69
03/10/2021	AIRF UNLV	127.0 -11.5	+541 -803	52 80
02/08/2021	AIRF UNLV	130.5 -14.0	+693 -1218	64 69
02/06/2021	AIRF UNLV	131.5 -14.0	+825 -1576	58 68
01/04/2020	AIRF UNLV	143.5 -5.5	+195 -238	59 71
02/12/2019	AIRF UNLV	144.0 -9.5	+375 -475	72 77
01/16/2019	UNLV AIRF	138.0 4.0	-200 +170	88 106
03/07/2018	AIRF UNLV	146.0 -9.0	+375 -550	90 97

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/13/24	AIRF NMX	124.6 -12.5	+724 -1413	48 71
03/09/24	COLST AIRF	52.9 1.8	-276 +190	33 29
03/05/24	AIRF WYOM	203.5 -9.7	+344 -440	94 111
03/01/24	AIRF UTAHST	223.3 -28.5	+1951 -5488	98 117
02/27/24	BOISE AIRF	91.5 5.4	-494 +342	54 33
02/24/24	AIRF NMX	221.7 -28.4	+2014 -9055	120 118
02/21/24	UNLV AIRF	81.0 2.5	-180 +144	44 26
02/13/24	AIRF SJST	129.1 -3.4	+127 -154	63 70
02/10/24	FREST AIRF	40.9 -0.6	+34 -42	21 21
02/06/24	SDST AIRF	35.5 0.7	-138 +102	20 17

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/27/24	UNLV SETON	127.9 -5.3	+186 -246	60 81
03/24/24	BOSCOL UNLV	249.1 -6.1	+247 -304	122 137
03/20/24	UNLV PRNCE	224.1 -5.6	+235 -290	134 123
03/09/24	UNLV NEVADA	54.5 -2.4	+84 -105	26 30
03/05/24	SDST UNLV	202.7 5.6	-232 +190	87 93
03/02/24	SJST UNLV	126.6 -12.3	+679 -1171	46 62
02/24/24	COLST UNLV	211.7 -1.5	-164 -175	92 101
02/21/24	UNLV AIRF	81.0 2.5	-180 +144	44 26
02/17/24	NEVADA UNLV	152.8 -1.6	+115 -139	76 72
02/14/24	UNLV FREST	61.8 0.9	-95 +77	30 29

JOIN

Air Force Falcons

Last time out, Air Force hosted the San Jose State Spartans and were beaten 63-61. The Falcons will be sick after this one as they led 14-1 to start the game and held on to that lead for 36 minutes. San Jose State started climbing back into the game, grabbed the lead with over four minutes left, and earned the road win. Air Force led by as many as 20 points, never trailed by more than four, and lost outright as -1.5-point favorites.

Camden Vander Zwaag had 13 points, six rebounds, three assists, and two steals on the day. Carter Murphy added 17 points, three rebounds, and three assists in the loss.

Through 31 games, Air Force is scoring 66.8 points per game, shooting 46.5% from the field, and assisting on 15.4 made shots. The Falcons are allowing 66.7 points, grabbing 29.3 rebounds, blocking 4.0 shots, and stealing the ball 5.9 times.

UNLV Rebels

UNLV visited the Nevada Wolf Pack and ended their regular season with an impressive 69-67 overtime win. The Rebels were the more impressive team in the first and built a 10-point halftime advantage, but the game was far from over. After halftime, Nevada came storming back to take a double-digit lead of their own, but the Rebels came back from eight down with under three to go to force overtime and, eventually, get the win. UNLV led by as many as 12 points, trailed by eight, and won outright as 8.5-point underdogs.

EJ Harkless had 24 points, eight rebounds, four assists, and two steals in the game. Luis Rodriguez added 14 points, 13 rebounds, and one steal off the bench.

After 30 games, UNLV is scoring 74.1 points per game, shooting 43.2% from the field, and assisting on 12.7 made shots. The Rebels are allowing 69.5 points, grabbing 33.3 rebounds, blocking 3.7 shots, and stealing the ball 9.1 times.