Maple Leafs vs Oilers Player Props: McDavid Is on Another Level
Updated October 23, 2026
Updated October 23, 2026
Connor McDavid has played ten games this season. He already has 31 points.
It's an almost ridiculous start, even by McDavid's standards. The Edmonton Oilers captain recorded another five-point performance against Carolina on Thursday, scoring twice and adding three assists in a 6-5 shootout victory.
Now comes a visit from the Toronto Maple Leafs, who have quietly won three consecutive games themselves.
Auston Matthews and William Nylander give Toronto plenty of offensive firepower, but I'm having a hard time looking beyond McDavid for Saturday's player props. The question isn't necessarily whether he records a point. It's whether he can deliver another multi-point performance.
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The Toronto Maple Leafs visit the Edmonton Oilers at Rogers Place on Saturday, October 24, with puck drop scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET.
Edmonton enters with an 8-1-1 record, having won three consecutive games and eight of its last nine. Toronto has improved to 6-4-2 following victories over San Jose, Columbus and the New York Rangers.
Kalshi and Polymarket have Edmonton as the favorite, with the game-winner markets indicating approximately a 63–64% probability of an Oilers victory.
However, game-result prices don't necessarily translate into player-prop value. I'm particularly interested in McDavid recording at least two points, provided an appropriate contract becomes available at the right price.
McDavid has eight goals and 23 assists through ten games, averaging 3.1 points per appearance.
For perspective, he finished last season with 138 points in 82 games. That was enough to win another Art Ross Trophy, yet his current production is nearly twice that pace.
And Thursday's performance against Carolina was hardly an isolated occurrence.
McDavid recorded five points against Utah on October 17, added three assists against Minnesota on October 20 and followed that with another five-point performance against the Hurricanes.
He's now recorded at least one point in all ten games this season.
It's also worth highlighting how Edmonton has been using its captain.
McDavid has recently centered a top line featuring Leon Draisaitl and Vasily Podkolzin, giving the Oilers an extraordinary amount of offensive talent on one unit.
The trio also benefits from significant power-play involvement, with Evan Bouchard continuing to quarterback Edmonton's leading unit.
Toronto will undoubtedly focus on limiting McDavid's opportunities, but the problem is that shutting him down usually means finding a way to contain Draisaitl as well.
Toronto has responded well to a difficult start, winning its last three games and scoring 14 goals during that stretch.
Thursday's 5-4 victory over the Rangers was particularly entertaining, with Troy Stecher scoring the winner in the final minute of regulation.
However, allowing four goals at home isn't particularly encouraging when the next opponent features the NHL's most productive player.
The Maple Leafs also remain without John Tavares and Max Domi, while Chris Tanev has been sidelined with an upper-body injury.
Toronto has enough attacking talent to make this competitive, but Edmonton's offensive movement presents a different challenge.
McDavid doesn't necessarily need to score himself to produce multiple points. With Draisaitl and Podkolzin finishing chances around him, assists could prove just as important.
Draisaitl deserves serious consideration in the anytime-goal market.
The German center has ten goals through ten appearances, including seven during his current five-game goal streak.
He scored twice against Carolina on Thursday, with both goals coming on the power play. His ability to find open space and finish quickly remains one of Edmonton's most dangerous offensive weapons.
Toronto has been excellent on the penalty kill to begin the season, so I wouldn't necessarily expect the Oilers to dominate with the man advantage.
Still, Draisaitl's recent production makes his anytime-goal contract worth monitoring.
The concern is price. Five consecutive games with a goal can attract plenty of attention, and I'm reluctant to chase a scoring streak without sufficient value.
For that reason, I slightly prefer McDavid's two-point market.
Matthews has eight goals and ten assists through 12 games, although he was held without a point against the Rangers on Thursday.
Before that, he recorded three points against San Jose and two more against Columbus.
His offensive role remains substantial, particularly with Tavares unavailable. Matthews has recently centered Easton Cowan and Jack Roslovic, while Nylander has been playing alongside Nick Paul and Kirill Marchenko.
Edmonton has conceded 30 goals through ten games, so there's certainly an opportunity for Toronto's top players to contribute.
Matthews' anytime-goal market is interesting, but his scoring hasn't been quite as consistent as McDavid's overall production.
If I'm choosing one position, I'd rather support Edmonton's captain to record multiple points than rely on Matthews scoring against an Oilers team that has been finding ways to win.
Edmonton's latest top line features Vasily Podkolzin, Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, with Zach Hyman, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Kasperi Kapanen providing support on the second line.
Nugent-Hopkins returned from injury against Carolina and immediately contributed a goal and an assist.
The Oilers do have a new defensive concern. Mattias Ekholm left Thursday's game after hitting his head on the ice following a check, and coach Mike Babcock suggested he could miss time.
Toronto's expected offensive combinations are headed by Cowan, Matthews and Roslovic, followed by Marchenko, Paul and Nylander.
The starting goaltenders remain unconfirmed. Sergei Bobrovsky played Thursday for Toronto, while Devon Levi started for Edmonton. Anthony Stolarz and Tristan Jarry are also options for Saturday.
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