Red Wings vs Oilers Player Props: Draisaitl To Score Again?

The Detroit Red Wings visit the Edmonton Oilers at Rogers Place on Monday, October 26, with puck drop scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET.

Edmonton enters the matchup with an 8-2-1 record following Saturday's 7-2 defeat against Toronto. Detroit is now 4-4-3 after losing 4-1 to Calgary, a result that ended its six-game point streak.

The Oilers remain favored on Kalshi and Polymarket, with the game-winner markets giving Edmonton approximately a 61–62% implied probability of victory.

That's understandable considering Edmonton's offensive production. The Oilers have scored 48 goals in 11 games, averaging an NHL-leading 4.36 goals per appearance.

However, Saturday exposed some familiar concerns.

Edmonton conceded seven goals against Toronto, with its supporting cast unable to match the Maple Leafs' offensive depth. The Oilers have now allowed 39 goals this season, averaging 3.55 per game.

For player props, though, I'm more interested in Draisaitl's individual scoring potential than the outcome of the game.

Draisaitl has 12 goals and 11 assists through 11 appearances, continuing a remarkable start alongside McDavid.

He's now scored in six consecutive games, finding the net nine times during that stretch. His latest performance was particularly impressive considering how poorly Edmonton played against Toronto.

Draisaitl scored both of the Oilers' goals, including one during four-on-four play and another on the power play. He also registered seven shots on goal, demonstrating that his offensive involvement remains high even when Edmonton struggles collectively.

It was his third consecutive two-goal performance.

Against Carolina on Thursday, Draisaitl recorded two goals and three assists in Edmonton's 6-5 shootout victory. Both goals came on the power play, reinforcing just how dangerous he remains with the man advantage.

Draisaitl has long been one of the NHL's most effective power-play finishers, particularly when finding space for his left-handed shot.

And right now, McDavid is providing him with plenty of opportunities.

Edmonton's captain has recorded 33 points through 11 appearances, including an extraordinary 25 assists. He also extended his season-opening point streak to 11 games with two assists against Toronto.

It's difficult enough trying to contain one of these players. When they're on the ice together, opponents have to make a choice about which one to prioritize.

Draisaitl's current shooting efficiency isn't sustainable indefinitely, but his ability to consistently find scoring positions makes him more than just a player enjoying a fortunate stretch.

The Red Wings deserve credit for their improved performances earlier this month.

They collected points in six consecutive games, going 3-0-3 during that stretch, and Thursday's 5-2 victory over Vancouver was one of their most convincing efforts.

Detroit outshot the Canucks 31-13 and held them without a single shot during the second period.

However, Saturday's defeat against Calgary brought some familiar problems back into focus.

The Red Wings conceded two power-play goals on just two opportunities, allowing Zayne Parekh and Matvei Gridin to score during the second period.

Detroit's penalty kill is now operating at approximately 65.8%, ranking among the NHL's weakest teams in that category.

That's an uncomfortable weakness to bring into Edmonton, particularly against a team featuring McDavid, Draisaitl and Evan Bouchard.

The Oilers entered the matchup with one of the league's most productive power plays, converting approximately 35% of their opportunities.

Against Carolina, Edmonton scored three times with the man advantage. Two of those goals belonged to Draisaitl, who added another power-play goal against Toronto on Saturday.

The contrast is difficult to ignore.

Detroit has struggled to defend opposing power plays, while Edmonton continues to generate high-quality opportunities through its leading forwards.

The Red Wings' recent improvement is encouraging, but I wouldn't assume their defensive success against Vancouver translates into similar results against Edmonton.

The Oilers simply have considerably more offensive firepower.

There's another interesting factor worth considering.

Edmonton has enjoyed considerable success against Detroit in recent seasons, losing only once in regulation across its last nine meetings with the Red Wings.

The Oilers have gone 6-1-2 during that stretch, outscoring Detroit 38-26.

Their record at Rogers Place has been particularly impressive. Edmonton hasn't lost in regulation in its last six home meetings with Detroit, going 4-0-2 during that stretch.

Draisaitl has contributed to that success.

He recorded a goal and two assists across the teams' two meetings last season, while McDavid collected four assists in their December matchup.

Historical performances aren't necessarily predictive, especially with different players and goaltenders involved.

Still, Edmonton has repeatedly demonstrated that it can generate offense against Detroit, and Monday's matchup looks favorable given Draisaitl's current form.

His biggest advantage is the amount of offensive responsibility he receives.

Draisaitl has recently been playing on Edmonton's leading line alongside McDavid and Vasily Podkolzin, while also remaining one of the team's primary power-play weapons.

There's no shortage of ways for him to get involved offensively.

Detroit has its own player enjoying an impressive start.

Alex DeBrincat has six goals and six assists through 11 games, making him the Red Wings' leading scorer.

He registered an assist against Vancouver on Thursday after contributing a goal and an assist against Seattle earlier in the week.

DeBrincat was held without a point against Calgary on Saturday, despite recording three shots on goal and playing almost 22 minutes.

His shooting volume has been encouraging, and he's continued to receive significant power-play opportunities alongside Dylan Larkin and Lucas Raymond.

Edmonton's defense hasn't been particularly convincing either.

The Oilers have conceded 39 goals through 11 games, including seven against Toronto on Saturday. Tristan Jarry struggled in that contest, allowing six goals before Toronto added an empty-net goal.

If Detroit can generate enough offensive pressure, DeBrincat should have opportunities.

His anytime-goal market is interesting, especially considering Edmonton's own defensive struggles.

However, Draisaitl offers the stronger combination of current production, offensive responsibility and matchup advantages.

Raymond deserves attention after his outstanding performance against Vancouver last Thursday.

The Swedish winger scored twice and added an assist, contributing to three of Detroit's five goals.

It was a much-needed offensive breakout after a relatively quiet start to the season.

Raymond now has three goals and six assists through 11 appearances, having been held without a point against Calgary on Saturday.

He continues to play an important role alongside Larkin and remains an integral part of Detroit's first power-play unit, making his 1+ point market worth considering.

Edmonton's defensive performance against Toronto also provides some encouragement. The Maple Leafs generated opportunities throughout the lineup, demonstrating that the Oilers can be vulnerable when opponents maintain offensive pressure.

However, Detroit hasn't shown the same level of offensive consistency.

The Red Wings managed just one goal against Calgary, and their leading forwards struggled to generate sustained pressure.

For that reason, I'd rather wait for a more favorable matchup before making Raymond my preferred position.

Edmonton's recent first-line combination has featured Vasily Podkolzin, Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, followed by Zach Hyman, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Kasperi Kapanen.

Nugent-Hopkins returned from injury against Carolina and immediately contributed a goal and an assist. His presence gives Edmonton considerably more depth behind its leading offensive trio.

Evan Bouchard remains a central part of Edmonton's offense from the blue line. However, Mattias Ekholm suffered a concussion against Carolina and missed Saturday's game against Toronto, forcing Edmonton to make adjustments to its defensive pairings.

Detroit's recent offensive combinations have featured Alex DeBrincat, Emmitt Finnie and Viktor Arvidsson, followed by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård, Dylan Larkin and Lucas Raymond.

Moritz Seider and Ben Chiarot have been leading the defensive pairings, with Justin Faulk providing another experienced option.

Detroit's goaltending situation has become clearer following Saturday's game.

John Gibson returned to the starting lineup against Calgary after leaving Thursday's victory over Vancouver with an eye injury. Gibson made 21 saves in the defeat and remains Detroit's projected starter against Edmonton.

Michal Postava, who made his NHL debut against Vancouver, remains another option.

Edmonton has its own goaltending concerns. Devon Levi was placed on injured reserve Friday, with Matt Tomkins recalled from Bakersfield.

Tristan Jarry started Saturday against Toronto and is the leading option to face Detroit. His performance against the Maple Leafs was disappointing, but Edmonton's defensive problems extended well beyond its goaltender.

The final starting assignments should become clearer closer to puck drop.