Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins Prediction & Pick - 12/23/2025
Updated December 23, 2025
Updated December 23, 2025
The Boston Bruins and Montreal Canadiens renew one of the NHL’s oldest rivalries on Tuesday night at TD Garden. Boston enters this one as the slight favorite on its home ice, but recent results and trends suggest this could be a tight game throughout. Will the Habs get the job done on the road, or will the Bruins get back into the win column? Here, I break it all down and make my Canadiens vs Bruins prediction.
Pick: | Bruins ML |
Confidence: | 3/5 |
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The Canadiens come into this game having split their last six games with four wins and two losses, including a 4-0 shutout victory over the Pittsburgh Penguins two games ago. Jacob Fowler’s performance in net was a highlight for Montreal. Fowler stopped all 31 shots he faced and earned his first NHL shutout, while Josh Anderson scored twice. Montreal followed that up with a shootout loss to the Pens, who got revenge on the Habs in that contest.
Boston has been less consistent in recent weeks. A 6-2 loss to Ottawa was a product of defensive lapses. Boston has lost three games in a row and they are in need of some better defending if the Bruins are going to find their way back into the win column.
Goaltending will be a focal point in this contest. Montreal’s rotation has seen Jacob Fowler step in and secure a shutout, boosting confidence for the rookie. Veteran Jakub Dobes has been solid this season as well, but save percentage issues have cropped up at times. Boston’s expected starter is Jeremy Swayman. Swayman has posted better numbers with a goals-against average below 2.8 and a stellar .906 save percentage, giving the Bruins a slight edge in net.
Boston’s offense is paced by the dynamic duo of Morgan Geekie and David Pastrnak, who can generate scoring opportunities at even strength and on the power play. Pastrnak’s playmaking, combined with Geekie’s finishing, makes for a potent combination. Montreal has offensive pieces like Bolduc and Suzuki, who have found ways to impact the scoresheet.
Player | Prop |
|---|---|
David Pastrnak | Over 1.5 Points |
Cole Caufield | Over 0.5 Points |
Morgan Geekie | Over 0.5 Goals |
Score Projection: Boston Bruins 4 – Montreal Canadiens 3
Win Probability: Boston Bruins 58%, Montreal Canadiens 42%
I'm going to take the Boston Bruins to get the win at home in this contest against the Canadiens. Boston has struggled of late, but their home-ice advantage and explosive top-line talent should help them to end their losing streak tonight. I'll take Boston on the moneyline in what should be an entertaining game from TD Garden.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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