Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins Prediction & Pick – 12/23/2025

The Boston Bruins and Montreal Canadiens renew one of the NHL’s oldest rivalries on Tuesday night at TD Garden. Boston enters this one as the slight favorite on its home ice, but recent results and trends suggest this could be a tight game throughout. Will the Habs get the job done on the road, or will the Bruins get back into the win column? Here, I break it all down and make my Canadiens vs Bruins prediction.

Our Canadiens vs Bruins Pick

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins
• Date & Time: Tuesday, December 23, 2025, 7:00 p.m.
• Venue: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
• Broadcast: ESPN+

Key Storylines

Recent form

The Canadiens come into this game having split their last six games with four wins and two losses, including a 4-0 shutout victory over the Pittsburgh Penguins two games ago. Jacob Fowler’s performance in net was a highlight for Montreal. Fowler stopped all 31 shots he faced and earned his first NHL shutout, while Josh Anderson scored twice. Montreal followed that up with a shootout loss to the Pens, who got revenge on the Habs in that contest.

Boston has been less consistent in recent weeks. A 6-2 loss to Ottawa was a product of defensive lapses. Boston has lost three games in a row and they are in need of some better defending if the Bruins are going to find their way back into the win column.

Goaltending

Goaltending will be a focal point in this contest. Montreal’s rotation has seen Jacob Fowler step in and secure a shutout, boosting confidence for the rookie. Veteran Jakub Dobes has been solid this season as well, but save percentage issues have cropped up at times. Boston’s expected starter is Jeremy Swayman. Swayman has posted better numbers with a goals-against average below 2.8 and a stellar .906 save percentage, giving the Bruins a slight edge in net.

Key skaters

Boston’s offense is paced by the dynamic duo of Morgan Geekie and David Pastrnak, who can generate scoring opportunities at even strength and on the power play. Pastrnak’s playmaking, combined with Geekie’s finishing, makes for a potent combination. Montreal has offensive pieces like Bolduc and Suzuki, who have found ways to impact the scoresheet.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• Boston defeated Montreal 3-2 in their first matchup this season.
• Boston is 25-12 on the puckline going into this matchup.
• The Canadiens are 18-18 on the puckline for the year.

Canadiens vs Bruins Model Projection

Final Thoughts

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.