Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers Prediction - 10/5/2025
Updated September 30, 2025
Updated September 30, 2025
The Miami Dolphins and Carolina Panthers will meet in Week 5 of the NFL season on Sunday. Miami got its first win of the season in Week 4 and will have to overcome a key injury to get a second straight victory. Carolina has struggled offensively and will try to change that at home to avoid a 1-4 start. Before kickoff from Charlotte, continue reading to get my Dolphins vs Panthers prediction.
Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
Dolphins –1.5 | Dolphins –125 / Panthers +105 | 44.5 |
Miami – Tua Tagovailoa: Tua remains the signal-caller in Miami. His success will depend on making quick reads and limiting mistakes with his top receiving threat gone. His decision-making and pocket awareness will be critical without Hill to get free late and bail him out of tough situations.
Carolina – Bryce Young: The Panthers’ young quarterback must deliver clean, timely throws and avoid taking too many risks. Young has three interceptions through four games, which isn't terrible, but he also struggles to make explosive plays in the passing game.
Score Projection: Dolphins 23 – Panthers 20
Win Probability: Dolphins 55%, Panthers 45%
I think we are in for an ugly game from Charlotte here. The Dolphins offense will likely struggle without Tyreek Hill to provide a vertical threat. Carolina's offense won't be much of a threat either, with Bryce Young struggling to make an impact again early in the year. I'll take the under in this game, as that seems like a better move than trusting either of these teams to cover the number.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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