Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).
Pros
- Trey Murphy III has averaged 17.7 points per game over the last 15 games, 3.7 more than he’s averaged overall this season.
- Trey Murphy III has attempted 8.9 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 more than he’s attempted over the course of the season.
- Trey Murphy III has played 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he’s played overall this year.
- This year when they are on their home court, the opposition’s starting SFs have tallied 6.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) against the Boston Celtics, making this a good matchup.
- Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the league as the home team with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Cons
- In terms of shots from the field, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
- The Pelicans will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics).
- Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposing team’s starting SFs have attempted 1.5 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
Prop Bet & Prediction: Trey Murphy III is projected for 17.7 Points
