The New York Knicks (8–5) head to Dallas to take on the struggling Mavericks (4–11) on Wednesday night. New York is still looking for its first road win of the season and they will try to get that win against a Mavericks team that has struggled mightily early in the year. Here, I break down this inter-conference matchup in the NBA and give you my Knicks vs Mavericks prediction.
Our Knicks vs Mavericks Pick
Pick: Knicks –5.5
Confidence: 4 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Knicks @ Dallas Mavericks
- Date & Time: Wednesday, November 19, 2025, 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
- Broadcast: ESPN
Key Storylines
- Knicks’ Away Woes: Despite a strong record, New York has dropped its last four road games. That trend is concerning, but this Mavericks team might be the one to snap it given how poorly the Mavericks have played so far this year.
- Injury Watch – Knicks: Jalen Brunson’s status is questionable after a Grade 1 ankle sprain. He participated in practice, which is a positive sign. OG Anunoby remains out with a hamstring strain for New York.
- Injury Watch – Mavericks: Dallas is banged up going into this game. Anthony Davis is out with a calf strain and Dante Exum is out as well. Other players like Daniel Gafford, Ryan Nembhard, and Dereck Lively II are on the injury report. Kyrie Irving is out for the season.
- Dallas Offensive Struggles: The Mavericks are averaging just 107.8 points per game this season, well under where the Knicks typically operate. Young shooter Max Christie is one of their only consistent weapons from deep. They will try to get things going offensively here against a Knicks team that isn’t fully healthy.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- This is the first game between the Mavericks and Knicks this season. They will play a total of two regular-season games.
- The Knicks are 8-5 against the spread so far this season.
- Dallas is 6-9 against the spread entering this matchup.
- New York has gone over the total in 9 of their first 13 games.
- The Mavericks have gone under the total in 9 of their 15 outings.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges (Knicks) | Over 17.5 points |
| Josh Hart (Knicks) | Under 7.5 rebounds |
Knicks vs Mavericks Model Projection
Score Projection: Knicks 119 – Mavericks 111
Win Probability: Knicks 70%, Mavericks 30%
Final Thoughts
The Knicks should be able to get their first road win of the season against Dallas in this game. The Mavs are banged up and unable to play as effectively on either end of the floor because of it. I’ll lay the points with the Knicks in this matchup, as they should get the job done away from Madison Square Garden for the first time this year.
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