The Miami Heat head into their game with the Chicago Bulls on Friday knowing that this is a big game for both teams early in the season. Both teams are just above the .500 mark, with Chicago at 8–6 and Miami at 9–6. Games like this one could be huge later in the season as we determine which teams make the playoffs, the play-in tournament, or miss the postseason altogether. Before tip-off in Chicago, continue reading to get my Heat vs Bulls prediction for tonight.
Our Heat vs Bulls Pick
- Pick: Chicago Bulls -2.5
- Confidence: 4/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls
- Date & Time: Friday, November 21, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: United Center, Chicago, Illinois
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
- Miami’s New-Look Core: The Heat are relying heavily on Norman Powell, who is leading the team in scoring at 25.4 points per game. Bam Adebayo anchors the frontcourt and is back from injury. Both of those players will need to step up in the face of the injury issues that the Heat are dealing with.
- Miami Injuries: The Heat are adjusting to life without Tyler Herro, who is still recovering from ankle surgery. Nikola Jovic and Andrew Wiggins are also out due to injuries, while Terry Rozier is out due to ongoing legal issues.
- Bulls Lean on Giddey: Josh Giddey remains the most important piece for Chicago of late. Through the early part of the season, he’s averaging approximately 20.8 PPG, 9.8 RPG, and 9.7 APG. His ability to impact winning in multiple ways has made him a great addition to the Chicago roster.
- Close Early-Season Form: Both teams have shown inconsistency. Chicago has won only 2 of its last 5, while Miami has gone 3–2 over that span. Both teams have won two games in a row and home-court advantage could end up deciding this game. The Heat are 2-5 on the road for the season, while the Bulls are 5-1 on their home floor.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- This is the first game of the season to be played between the Bulls and Heat.
- The Heat are 10–5 against the spread this season.
- The Bulls are 9–5 against the spread going into Friday night.
- Chicago has gone over the total in 9 of its first 14 games.
- The Heat are 9-6 to the over through 15 outings on the year.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Josh Giddey | Over 9 assists |
| Norman Powell | Over 26.5 points |
| Bam Adebayo | Over 9.5 rebounds |
Heat vs Bulls Model Projection
- Score Projection: Chicago Bulls 123 – Miami Heat 120
- Win Probability: Bulls 53%, Heat 47%
Final Thoughts
I’m going with the Chicago Bulls to win and cover the spread at home in this game. Chicago and Miami have looked like completely different teams depending on where their games have been played this season. Both teams have been excellent at home and have struggled on the road. I expect that to continue here and for the Bulls to hold serve on their home floor on Friday night.
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