The Memphis Grizzlies travel to Indianapolis to face the Indiana Pacers on Sunday in a game between two teams near the bottom of their respective conference standings. Both clubs enter this game with struggles and injuries to overcome, but someone has to win this matchup on Sunday. Before tip-off from Indy, you will find my Grizzlies vs Pacers prediction here.
Our Grizzlies vs Pacers Pick
Pick: Memphis Grizzlies -1 ATS PRO
Confidence: 3.5 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Memphis Grizzlies @ Indiana Pacers
- Date & Time: Sunday, March 1, 2026, 5:00 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
- The Grizzlies have recently reversed a losing skid with a convincing road win over Dallas where they scored 124 points and received contributions from multiple players.
- Indiana enters this game losers of five straight, continuing a difficult season that has seen them struggle both offensively and defensively.
- Pacers star Tyrese Haliburton remains out for the season with an Achilles injury, compounding what has been a challenging campaign for the Eastern Conference club. But both of these teams have been banged up all season long.
Key Players
Memphis Grizzlies
- Cedric Coward – Leading scorer for Memphis with roughly 13.3 points per game and around 6.2 rebounds, providing a reliable offensive presence during a season where reliability has been hard to come by.
- Cam Spencer – Key playmaker averaging about 11.4 points and 5.5 assists per game, also strong from beyond the arc with about 2.1 made 3‑pointers per contest.
- Jaylen Wells – Provides scoring around 12.3 PPG with secondary rebounds and defensive plays, helping Memphis maintain offensive rotation stability.
Indiana Pacers
- Pascal Siakam – The clear primary option for Indiana, averaging nearly 24 points per game while also contributing 6.8 rebounds and about 3.9 assists.
- Jarace Walker – Pacers forward averaging around 14.8 points and 7.7 rebounds, a versatile forward who can impact on both ends.
- Andrew Nembhard – Pacers’ facilitator averaging in the vicinity of 6.3 assists and nearly 14 points per game when available, though listed as day‑to‑day.
Stat Comparison
Stat | Memphis Grizzlies | Indiana Pacers |
|---|
Points per Game | 115.6 | 111.5 |
Points Allowed per Game | 117.9 | 119.5 |
Team Field Goal % | 46% | 45% |
Rebounds per Game | 44.5 | 42.6 |
Assists per Game | 28.8 | 26.3 |
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- The teams meet for the second time this season after Memphis won the earlier encounter by a wide margin.
- Memphis is 26-32 against the spread this season.
- Indiana comes into this contest with a 28-32 record against the spread for the year.
Grizzlies vs Pacers Model Projection
Score Projection: Memphis 114 – Indiana 109 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Memphis 59%, Indiana 41% ATS PRO
Final Thoughts
Both of these teams are focused more on their future than their present, but I give a slight edge to the Grizzlies on the road here. Indiana has been struggling mightily of late and Siakam is questionable to compete here. I'll go with the Grizzlies in what should be a close game between teams that have seen better days.
More NBA Picks
Affiliate DisclosureATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
