Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers Game 4 Prediction - 10/8/2025
Updated October 8, 2025
Updated October 8, 2025
The Detroit Tigers will host the Seattle Mariners in Game 4 of their American League Division Series on Wednesday night. The Mariners lead the series 2–1 following an 8–4 win in Game 3, and now have a chance to clinch their first trip to the ALCS since 2001. Detroit must avoid elimination at home to force a deciding Game 5 in Seattle. Before this huge matchup from Comerica Park, continue reading to get my Mariners vs Tigers Game 4 prediction.
Detroit turns to Casey Mize, who enters with a 14–6 record and a 3.87 ERA. He is trusted in a must-win spot, though his second half has been less sharp than his first. Mize has pitched three innings in the postseason so far and has a 3.00 ERA in the playoffs. Seattle will give the start to Bryce Miller, whose regular season was more uneven than that of Mize. He went 4–6 with a 5.68 ERA. This will be Miller’s first postseason start.
Seattle has won two games in a row going into Game 4. A third straight win for them would move them into the next round. Detroit has dropped two straight games after winning the opening game of this best-of-five series.
Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
Cal Raleigh | Home runs | Over 0.5 |
Josh Naylor | Total Bases | Under 1.5 |
Spencer Torkelson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Score Projection: Tigers 5 – Mariners 4
Win Probability: Tigers 52%, Mariners 48%
I think we are going to see a much closer game in Game 4 than we did in Game 3. The Tigers have the starting pitching edge going into this matchup, though they have already lost with Tarik Skubal on the mound in this series, so who knows how much that will matter. I will take the Tigers at home to force a Game 5 in this series back in Seattle, with the expectation of some regression from Seattle's big bats.
